2014 World Cup Winner Prediction

7th May 2014 | World Cup Betting category: World Cup Previews & Predictions
World Cup Previews & Predictions

Who is your 2014 World Cup winner prediction? The outright winner market in World Cup 2014 betting has been and will be the most active one for the big summer football tournament. The market has pretty much been separated into a big four of favourites, a chasing pack and then long shots with no hope of getting anywhere near the title. Who are the big four? Hosts Brazil, fellow South Americans Argentina, Germany and reigning World Cup holders Spain. That is a powerful four nations and seeing anyone beat all of them to the punch at Brazil 2014 is a bit of a long stretch.

They are all nations who have tasted World Cup glory of course and on the previous occasions where the FIFA World Cup has been held in South America, it has always been a South American nation who has claimed the title. Brazil have been taking favouritism in the market at  price of 3/1 with most bookmakers, but are they too short for many punters to get behind heavily? The weight of expectation in delivering the title in their own back yard is going to be immense, but with Luiz Felipe Scolari at the helm, a World Cup winning coach of course, and with a comfortable looking ride to the semi finals, the Brazilians should make a strong case for themselves.

However, in terms of value, it is their rivals Argentina who look far better value at 5/1. That price would offer some pretty decent value in an each way shot on Alejandro Sabella’s troops, but at 5/1 you can’t ignore an outright shot on that. Argentina make a very sensible selection as a 2014 World Cup winner prediction, and here we’ll take a closer look at them. Forget their confusing tactics of four years ago, that is in the past and they are looking much stronger this time around.

Attacking Force
Boy can Argentine boast an impressive attacking force. No other nation has three strikers trading at 20/1 or shorter in the World Cup 2014 Top Goalscorer market. Lionel Messi is running at 8/1 outright favourite, with Manchester City’s Sergio Aguero at 14/1 and Gonzalo Higuain a nice shot at 20/1 to deliver as well. Just to put the weight of their attacking options into context. Only seven players heading to the World Cup are priced at 20/1 or shorter in the Golden Boot market. Argentina have three of them. You can’t top that.

A clear vision
Nobody knew what Maradona was doing (probably not even himself) with his tactics at South Africa 2010. Since their exit at the quarter finals of the 2011 Copa America, Argentina have gone from strength to strength, posting 19 wins, 9 draws and just four losses. Their progress is down to new coach Alejandro Sabella, who, it has to be said, looks to have sensibly taken a few leaves out of Barcelona’s book of football, in order to get the best out of Lionel Messi. That has been the biggest puzzle for previous Argentina coaches. How to find a system which Messi excels in. It is there now, largely in a flexible 4-3-3 setup. But where Maradona just confused things further which changes in matches, Sabella looks to have the ability to switch things up perfectly on the fly.

Location, Location
La Albiceleste are naturally going to have some advantage by playing on their own continent of course. They go up against Iran, Bosnia and Nigeria in their group, which doesn’t look any trouble for them at all, but not only could they coast to the semi finals (with a potential clash against Spain) but they have favourable venues for fixtures as well. They don’t go any further north than Brasilia which means they’ll avoid most of the brutal heat and even during the group stage of the 2014 FIFA World Cup, only four teams will put in less travelling miles than Argentina will for their three matches. Big advantage there.

More than a starting XI
Look at some sides heading to Brazil 2014, notably Italy and Holland, and there isn’t a lot on offer in terms of squad depth. Not so with Argentina. They have massive options off the bench to come in and support the bulk of the core team. When the final squads are announced for the 2014 World Cup, take a look down Argentina’s list. You probably won’t find a more well-balanced, stronger squad heading to Brazil. At 5/1 with online betting site Bet365, our 2014 World Cup winner prediction is Argentina.




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