Best Value World Cup Bets for Group F

7th June 2010 | World Cup Betting category: Football World Cup News
Football World Cup News

World Cup Group F Teams: Italy, Paraguay, Slovakia, New Zealand. A fascinating betting group is this one. The defending Champions Italy were drawn in this group, and they have a great mix of opposition to test their mettle, as they look to retain their title. They are waiting news on the fitness of Andrea Pirlo, and World Cup odds are well worth casting an eye over in this one. What will Paraguay and Slovakia bring to the table? Can New Zealand take any points from their second ever World Cup? There is less than a week now to finalise your World Cup betting, before the big kick off in Johannesburg on June 11th. Here we take a look at the best value bets to be found on Group F, to help your betting decisions.

Group Outright: Italy 1/2 at Ladbrokes

The Italians, under Marcello Lippi have not been taking the same route to the 2010 FIFA World Cup and most other nations. Instead of honing their match sharpness, they have instead, been focusing on their conditioning at camp. What does this mean in terms of betting on Italy at the World Cup? Well, the defending champions have been labeled everything from Dad’s Army to Golden Oldies, describing the aging squad. While it is true they have some strong veterans in the squad, like Gianluigi Buffon, Gennaro Gattuso, Mauro Camoranesi, Gianluca Zambrotta and Andrea Pirlo, there is more than enough young legs in their side to run other teams into the ground. It is actually a very well balanced squad, and one thing that the Italians will have over most other teams in the tournament, is an incredible mentality. That is something which they will pull together on, even if they are not playing well. They came through European qualification comfortably, in their own style, which may lack a lot of flair of the likes of Spain, Holland and Brazil, but Italy know how to get the job done, and they have one of the best coaches in the world at handling tactics. How the Italians set themselves up, and how the Italians play won’t shock anyone, and that means teams will know how to play against them. It doesn’t mean that they will be able to beat them though. There is a lot to be admired about the defending champions, and they should be strong force in the group.

To Qualify: Slovakia 13/10 at William Hill

This really is one of the most exciting groups at South Africa 2010. Slovakia topped their European qualification group, edging out Slovenia, who beat the winners twice in the group. Slovakia though, still had enough to get over the finish line, and are worth looking at in World Cup Odds. They have had a few injury worries, including captain Martin Skrtel who has just found out that he will be able to participate in the World Cup after he received positive news about his injured ankle. Their key player is midfielder Marek Hamsik, who pulls all of the strings for Slovakia, as they head to their first ever World Cup. What benefits them on their debut, is that picking up points from their group opposition is extremely feasible. Being their first World Cup, they won’t be shy of taking on their group rivals, as they know they have nothing to lose. They should be able to pick up maximum points against New Zealand, and then it will be a test of their technical ability to beat out South American’s Paraguay for the second spot.

Top Group Stage Scorers: Paraguay 24/13 at Bwin

Paraguay showed a strong attacking flair in their impressive qualification campaign in the South American Zone. Their top scorer was Salvador Cabanas, who won’t be at South Africa 2010, as he was the unfortunate victim of a shooting to the head. While he is on the road to recovery, his absence will be sadly missed at South Africa 2010. The goal scoring duties will fall upon Nelson Valdez, Roque Santa Cruz and exciting young talent Lucas Barrios. They finished qualification just one point behind winners Brazil, and level on points with Chile. They do not have the strongest of defences though, and coach Gerardo Martino has demanded his players work harder at the back. Still, they have beaten World Cup bound Greece, fought back twice from behind to hold the Ivory Coast, but suffered a loss against the Republic of Ireland in their international friendly warm up matches. Paraguay have never been beyond the last sixteen of the World Cup, but it shows that they can get out of their group, and with their current side, they should explode with goals.

Group Goals Total: Under 15.5 goals Evens at Bwin

This may fly in the face of the Paraguay bet above, but this is a good value bet to back. Typically, Italy will not be full of goals, and being the seeded team in the group, a lot of what happens in the World Cup Fixtures in Group F will be influenced by the defending Champions. Italy should also be tight at the back, with the capability of blanking the rest of the group out. New Zealand will likely struggle for goals, and with the relative unknown quantity of Slovakia, this should be a tight group, with not too many goals flying in. The best match of the group should be Paraguay v Slovakia which could have a huge bearing on the next best value of the group.

Italy to finish second: 13/5 at Boylesports
Yes, this is worth looking at because of the odds. The Italians have not been having everything their own way in their build up for the 2010 FIFA World Cup, and this is why this bet is in here. After losing to Mexico and then drawing with Switzerland, the Italians are looking for a little bit of match sharpness, and having to face a Paraguay side in the first match, a side who likes to attack with pace, then they could be caught cold. This group could run a lot closer than many may think, especially with Slovakia in the mix as well. It is hard to see Italy not qualifying from the group, but there is a chance of upsets happening in Group F, and if so, then it will be at Italy’s expense. Italy are a great tournament nation, but could have their hands full here, and be pushed all the way.

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* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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