Betting Odds & Prediction for Argentina v Germany – World Cup Quarter Finals

1st July 2010 | World Cup Betting category: World Cup Qualification Previews & Predictions
World Cup Qualification Previews & Predictions

Argentina v Germany Betting Odds

Argentina to win: 11/8 at BetFred
Draw: 9/4 at Bwin
Germany to win: 12/5 at Stan James
 

Argentina

Argentina have looked dominant at South Africa 2010 so far, and the are reinforcing the strengths which the South American nations are bringing to the tournament. Argentina have not been troubled at all on their progress through the tournament, but you just wonder if they are going to hit a rough patch, and then the question will be, whether or not they can respond? They simply have not been put under enough pressure by any of their opponents so far, and their mental fortitude has not been tested. Mexico did give them some scares early in the last sixteen match, and Argentina could well have found themselves behind. What did Mexico do? They showed no fear and attacked quickly, trying to get the game by the scruff of the neck. However, the near misses were not enough, and sure enough Argentina punished them. Argentina, like all South American teams, cherish possession and keep the ball so that it has to work hard, and the players don’t. That is why they make it all look so easy. Perhaps the only sides from Europe which have the same mentality are Spain and Holland, but Argentina’s quarter final opponents seem to be learning it quickly as well. Germany will represent Argentina’s toughest opponents so far at South Africa 2010, and it is a repeat fixture of the 2006 quarter final in Germany. Argentina will be hoping for a better outcome this time though, as they were defeated on penalties then.

Argentina are confident, and Argentina are strong.
They are showing a togetherness and team spirit that has not been there for some time. But things are fine as long as everything is going to plan, but one has to wonder if they will lose their cool, if they were to find themselves behind in a match? The South Americans are naturally a fiery bunch who play up to the referee, and intimidate opposition. Maradona himself is a huge presence on the sidelines and he is one of the lads when it comes to the team, and it is the coach which has found a way to get the best out the best player in the world, Lionel Messi. Argentina set up in a 4-3-3 formation, with Messi filling that hole between midfield and the two forwards, Gonzalo Higuain and Carlos Tevez. They do swap and change around, with Tevez dropping behind Higuain as well, and they become a little hard to pick up. Messi is used in the middle behind the strikers, in the position where he can get a lot of the ball, and the German defensive midfield will naturally have to watch him closely. They do not play a particularly wide game, preferring to pass their way down the middle, but Maradona went with a more defensive 4-4-2 formation against Germany when they played in a friendly match in March. The South American’s won that one by a 1-0 score line, but that was when they were still looking for their best formation, and still building confidence. It is hard to see them breaking ranks with what has worked so well for them so far during the tournament.

Argentina 2010 World Cup Stats

Played: W4, D0, L0
GF/GA: 10/2
Cards: Y5, 2Y0, R0
Most Shots: Lionel Messi, 23
Top Scorer: Gonzalo Higuain, 4
Shots/On Goal: 75/36 (#1 on overall chart)
Fouls Committed: 45
Total Passes: 2403
Passes Completed: 1848 (77% success rate #3 on overall chart)

Germany

Germany have a lot of aces in their pack, although they are largely inexperienced ones. The approach which Ghana and Germany have taken towards the World Cup 2010, has been a little different to most teams, as they are investing heavily in their youth. The powers that be at the of head German football, invested millions in promoting youth academies and getting their youth to develop their creative and technical skills, after a failure at Euro 2000. Germany now boasts one of the highest rates of qualified coaching staff in Europe, and a mere decade later they are reaping the benefits of this incredibly large investment which was over half a billion Euros. The idea was to concentrate fully on promoting the development of the country’s best youth in order to give a fresh outlook on football, and to be able to compete on the world stage. The fact that they have taken their youngest squad ever to the World Cup, and are in the quarter finals of the tournament thanks to playing a bold, attacking style of football, is to their credit. The Germans were not about to be left behind and let their promising talent go to waste by having creative skills coached out of them.  Germany embraced a new attacking philosophy in their style of football, and after reaching the final of Euro 2008 the country definitely is heading in the right direction. It is not only the youthful exuberance which is paying dividends for Germany, it is the confidence in their own style of play which is driving them forward. They are not going to be perfect because of their lack of inexperience, with the average age of the squad around 25 years old only. But it means they have a brave and bold side which are prepared to take on the best with out much fear.

This match will re-ignite memories of the epic struggle of the quarter finals of Germany 2006 when the Europeans triumphed in a penalty shoot out. Even though the German side are now even younger than then, coach Joachim Loew insists that they are fully confident in their own abilities, and that he has spotted weaknesses in the Argentinean machine. Loew has almost a fully fit squad to take into the match, with only striker Cacau still suffering from a strain. This is young German side who are blessed with the youngsters who won the Under 21 European Championships in 2008. This is the reward that they are seeing for the heavy investment in youth from the ground level up. Germany need to attack, and they really have nothing to fear against Argentina, who sparked angry scenes between the two sets of players in their 2006 quarter final clash. So what may these weaknesses be in Argentina? Surely the South Americans have been much lauded as one of the favourites for the tournament and therefore have no chinks in their armour? There are two things which could see Germany through this match. The first one is temperament. Looking at the stylish Joachim Loew you can feel the air of calmness emanating from them, and that is exactly what the young team needs. The older players like Bastian Schweinsteiger and Miroslav Klose need to not let the antics of the Argentineans effect how the Germans play. The Argentineans have already lost their cool in a half time bust up with the Mexicans, and they are known for their antics in winding up opposition. The German youth need to avoid any mental games and get on with their job, and that job needs to be attacking Argentina down the flanks.

The second thing is that Argentina do not have great full backs, nor a particularly strong centre half pairing come to that. Because Argentina like to go through the middle though, predominantly through Messi and the two holding midfielders, Germany need to open them up and do what they have been doing all tournament. The Germans need to use the width of Polodski and Mueller on the wings to put pressure on the Argentinean defence out wide. It is in those areas which the South Americans look the weakest and that will create a whole lot more space for Klose to poach goals, as well as letting Mesut Oezil display his incredible eye for picking out an attacking pass. These young Germans are winners, as shown at the Euro Under 21’s in 2008. At their young age they have shown a lot of composure, and can be fairly confident of winning this one. It is likely that they will need to do it in regulation time though, as the pressure of penalties may prove a little too overwhelming for the youngsters. There is a question of fitness too, in which the Germans should also have the edge, and there is a strong chance they will move onto an all European semi against Spain.

Germany World Cup 2010 Stats
Played: W3, D0, L1
GF/GA: 9/2
Cards: Y7, 2Y1, R0
Most Shots: Lukas Podolski, 16
Top Scorer: Thomas Mueller, 3
Shots/On Goal: 61/27 (#9 on overall chart)
Fouls Committed: 41
Total Passes: 2239
Passes Completed: 1697 (76% success rate #5 on overall chart)

Germany v Argentina Betting Prediction: Germany to win by 1 goal 4/1 at Bet365
 

 

Current Argentina v Germany Odds:

 



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