Brazil vs Argentina Betting Preview – World Cup 2018 Qualification

8th November 2016 | World Cup Betting category: World Cup Qualification Previews & Predictions
World Cup Qualification Previews & Predictions

Qualification matches for a World Cup really never get any bigger than this massive South American clash. This is one of the most epic football rivalries in the world and Brazil and Argentina square up again as they try and book their places at the 2018 World Cup. For Brazil things are going well as they go into the next round of qualification matches at the top of the CONMEBOL group. However, Argentina are struggling and outside of the qualification spots at the moment and need a big result in this one to avoid the risk being cut further adrift. Will the Selecao triumph on home soil, or will Argentina be able to hang in there?

Brazil vs Argentina Odds

Brazil 21/20, Draw 23/10, Argentina 13/5

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Brazil vs Argentina Betting Tips

Internatl matches don’t get much bigger than this one. You have Brazil taking on their rivals Argentina in World Cup qualification. The race for the World Cup 2018 is firmly on as the CONMEBOL Zone is already past the halfway mark in its qualification. Brazil are sitting top of the qualification table with 21 points from 10 qualification matches. They have suffered a defeat along the way, losing out against Chile away from home. But otherwise they have been strong, particularly on home soil. Brazil are not only top scorers in CONMEBOL qualification, but they are also boasting the joint-second best defensive record in qualification as well. So it really is all positives from them at the moment. Barcelona star Neymar has three qualification goals so far, but trails their top scorer Gabriel Jesus by one. Neymar is running as even money favourite in the anytime goal scorer market for this one with Jesus at 2/1.

The strengths of the Brazilian qualification campaign have really come to the fore on home soil. They have gone W4 D1 from their five matches there so far and not only that, have scored a ton as well. They have netted fifteen goals at an average of three per game over those home qualifiers and have scored at least two in each of them. So they have the firepower working for them at the moment, but they will face a tough opponent here and a Brazil 1-0 correct score option will fetch you a price of 11/2 at William Hill for this latest meeting. The top four from the CONMEBOL qualifications goes through to the World Cup qualification, while the fifth placed team goes to an inter-confederation play-off. The other five miss out. Not only then is there a big three points for Brazil here to march on towards Russia 2018, but they can keep Argentina stressign. You are usually looking at tight games between these two and a Brazil to win by a one goal margin will return you a price of 13/5.

So the question really is, can Argentina dig deep and pull out a much needed result in this one. Three points would pull them to within two points of leader Brazil and therefore the iq qualifications picture would be looking a lot brighter. Lionel Messi is still playing for them after he reversed his decision to retire following his missed penalty in the final of the Copa America 2016, which Argentina went on to lose against Chile. A month after saying he was done, he changed his mind and the Barcelona star is running at 7/4 in the anytime goalscorer market for this one, with Gonzalo Higuain and Sergio Aguero as 2/1 options. Messi and Gabriel Mercado are Argentina’s joint top scorers in qualification with two goals each. While Argentina can boast strong forward power, it hasn’t been working for them in qualification. Only Paraguay, Bolivia and Venezuela (three of the four nations beneath them in the table) have scored fewer goals that they have so far.

So Argentina’s star forward power isn’t working as well of that of Brazil. Argentina have been out on the road five times so far in World Cup 2018 qualification and they have yet to pick up a win in a D3 L2 record. Couple that with Brazil’s strong home form and you can see why they are underdogs. Argentina have failed to score in two of their five away games so far. Argentina will know that they can ill afford to suffer a defeat in this one and under 2.5 goals at William Hill is a price of 4/6 at value. Both teams to score in the fixture will fetch you a price of 19/20. The two met in November last year in the first qualification meeting for the World Cup 2018 campaign and that ended in a 1-1 draw. A repeat of that 1-1 correct score is a price of 5/1. Argentina have won just two of the last seven against Brazil in a W2 D2 L3 record but need to land one here.

So can Argentina do it? Frankly they don’t look value to get the much needed win on the board. They will probably be happy enough with a point and take their chances in other easier matches to come. So they will try and keep things tight, but you would still have to side with Brazil’s superior confidence and attacking power at the moment. They are going well on home soil and it’s worth backing them to just edge the victory. Brazil to win by a one goal margin has huge appeal.



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