European Qualifying Group Four

6th October 2009 | World Cup Betting category: World Cup 2018 Betting Predictions
World Cup 2018 Betting Predictions


This group seems to have slipped under the radar a bit. Mostly because it has been a two horse race all the way, but that in itself has been fascinating. The rest of the group, unfortunately, have simply not been good enough to even put up a fight against the top two of Russia and Germany, and within the six teams, there is almost a clear 3 divisions themselves. One of the most interesting matches of qualifying on Saturday happens in Group 4. No, not Liechtenstein v Azerbaijan, but Russia v Germany.

Remaining Fixtures
October 10
Finland v wales
Russia v Germany
Liechtenstein v Azerbaijan

October 14th
Germany v Finland
Liechtenstein v Wales
Azerbaijan v Russia

Current Standings P W D L Pts
Germany 8 7 1 0 22
Russia 8 7 0 1 21
Finland 8 4 2 2 14
Wales 8 3 0 5 9
Liechtenstein 8 0 2 6 2
Azerbaijan 8 0 1 7 1


With all of the World Cup pedigree which they have, it would be a shame to not have them in South Africa 2010. There is no danger of them not getting at least a runner’s-up place, and you would expect them to come through something like that. Still everything will come down to match on Saturday, in Moscow. When the two teams met in Germany, around this time last year, the home side ran out 2-1 winners, and now it will all come down to this. A win for the German’s books them a plane ticket to South Africa, a draw won’t be enough and defeat would spell some kind of disaster. This is how much impetus is on the match.
Russia to win: 17/11 at Expekt
Draw: 9/4 at Victor Chandler
Germany to win: 15/8 at Paddy Power


No doubt looking forward to the visit of the Germans, firstly to enact some revenge for beating them earlier in the campaign, but also because a win would pretty much secure them top spot. Russia have a no-brainer in their final game on Wednesday, so they will need to overcome the Germans to give themselves the cushion they need so that they do not have to rely on the result of Germany v Finland on the same day. Both teams have only conceded four goals, but the Germans have netted 6 more than the Russians. This is likely to be another close call on this one, and will again illustrate the gulf in class between the two of them and the rest of the group. In all fairness they have had an easy ride.

As with the other four teams in the group, the Fins only have a bit of pride left to play for. They face Wales on Saturday, and then could play a vital part in what happens at the top of the group. Anything less than a win for Germany against Russia, will see them needing to take points from the Finnish, and the last time they met, it ended in an exciting 3-3 draw. Should be a different story in Germany though, as opposed to the cold of Finland.
Finland to win: 10/11 at 888Sport
Draw: 5/2 at Bet365
Wales to win: 10/3 at Skybet

Picking up only 3 wins in a group which contains Liechtenstein, Azerbaijan and Finland, will not have impressed the Welsh fans. They have only picked up wins against the bottom two teams and haven’t been sturdy enough to even pick up the scraps of a draw during qualifying. To their credit, they have given the Germans and the Russians good games, but simply not good enough.

You would think that being in a group with Azerbaijan, there was a good opportunity to pick up a win. The first game between them ended in a 0-0 draw however, which does explain why they have only scored a total of 3 goals between them in qualifying. They go head to head on Saturday for bragging rights of not finishing bottom.
Azerbaijan to win: 11/8 at Bet365
Draw: 23/10 at Bet365
Leichtenstein to win: 9/4 at SkyBet


Have only scored once, and picked up one point with a draw against Liechtenstein. That will have been the highlight of the qualifying campaign.

Russia beat Germany, probably 1-0 to take the group to the last day. That victory means that Russia are favourites to get the automatic spot for the World Cup, and with both teams winning on the final day, it is Germany who have to rely on a play-off spot to head to South Africa. Tune in to Moscow on Saturday, it should be a good one. The rest of the matches are of no real consequence.

Germany: 1/2 at Victor Chandler
Russia: 2/1 at Totesport

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