Germany V Serbia Preview: Friday, 18th June (Group D)

17th June 2010 | World Cup Betting category: World Cup Previews & Predictions
World Cup Previews & Predictions

 

Germany V Serbia Preview

Kick-off: Friday, 18th June – 12:30 GMT
Stadium: Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium, Port Elizabeth
Referee: Alberto Undiano Mallenco
Group D

 

Germany

Germany didn’t have too many friends in the outright market before the tournament burst into life, with the withdrawal of influential captain Michael Ballack seemingly crushing their hopes of regaining the title they had won on three previous occasions, with the Germans continuing to drift ever so slightly in the days leading up to the finals. Joachim Loew’s players didn’t have to wait long before they got their chance to convert the many now non-believers, giving Asian side Australia a good old-fashioned drubbing in Durban as many began to flock back as a result to declare their support for this new German revolution.

It was a riot in Durban, although Australia’s deceivingly lean defensive record in qualifying, having conceding just one goal to Asian opponents, meant the German extravaganza came as a surprise. Lukas Podolski leathered home their first, but it was their second which was perhaps more poignant, as Miroslav Klose headed home his eleventh World Cup goal to put him just four shy of Ronaldo’s (Brazil) record of 15. In the second half, Thomas Muller and the Brazil born Cacua completed the rout, as Germany began their 2010 World Cup campaign in some style.

Round 1 certainly went the way of Germany, as with the first set of group fixtures now completed no-one got anywhere near winning in such an authoritative manner like the Germans. It’s all good and well dishing out a football spanking in your first game of the finals but if you don’t carry on performing in the same ruthless manner then it will count for nothing when the awards are handed out on July 11th. It was, though, a performance to really inspire folk however, none more so than the Germany players themselves ahead of two difficult remaining group encounters against Serbia and Ghana. First up is the Serbians, who despite losing 1-0 to Ghan in their opening game of the tournament, have one of the leanest defences around and it will take a similarly destructive performance from Germany if they are to overhaul the Serbians in a game they, Serbia, simply have to win.

The fact Serbia have little option but to attack Germany in a bid to obtain the three points they so desperately crave won’t matter much to Joachim Loew and Germany, who will go about their business with their usual German swagger. They, too, also need the win as victory for them would all but guarantee them a rightful passage into the last-sixteen, where a tasty looking tie with England could await them should Germany top their group, as they are now fancied to do, and England settle for second in Group C. After the way they destroyed Australia in game one, Germany won’t be phased in the slightest at the prospect of facing one of their fiercest of international rivals.

 

Serbia

Following their shock 1-0 loss to Ghana in Pretoria, Serbia, many people’s idea of the tournament’s ‘Dark Horse’ to reach the latter stages of the tournament, have rapidly seen their chances of even making the knock-outs diminish beneath their feet. Radomir Antic and his players now know that anything less than two victories from their remaining two Group D fixtures probably won’t be enough to carry them through to the last-sixteen, so it’s a ‘nothing to lose’ type of scenario for a team which prefers to air on the side of caution and not play gung-ho football.

It’s strange to think that one loss and a team which had high hopes of being a big player in South Africa now have little chance of making an impact, but that’s the situation Serbia find themselves following their poor start to the tournament. The Serbians were favourites to clinch all three points against Ghana, who themselves had big aspirations of going far in the competition against the odds, but came away from the Loftus Verfeld stadium with zilch. They were, however, to blame for their own demise, as with less than 15 minutes of the game left to play, Serbia were first reduced to ten men when Lukovic was sent off for a second bookable offence only to give away a rash penalty when Kuzmanovic, one of the less experienced player in the team, handled inside his own area to gift Ghana an opening. The African side never looked back, while if Serbia looked back all they would see is the forlorn figure of Australia, bottom of the group by virtue of an inferior goal difference.

Serbia have 90 minutes in Port Elizabeth to redeem themselves, although what awaits them at the Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium is a Germany team in the shape of a mountain, a mountain Serbia must climb if they’re to conquer their elimination fears. If you compare Serbia’s opening loss to Germany’s emphatic win then there’s no winner, no point in even turning up frankly, but it’s a new day and a fresh set of 90 minutes and you would expect Serbia to be fired up for this clash, a game which looks likely to define their 2010 World Cup whatever the result. However, should Serbia lose and Ghana beat a deflated Australia, the Serbs will be left battling it out with Australia for the right not to own Group D’s wooden spoon.

Radomir Antic may well ring the changes on Friday, although we don’t see that happening in fairness. He fielded his strongest possible eleven against Ghana but they simply didn’t bother to turn up and perform to the high standard which seen them see off France in qualifying. One would argue that Nikola Zigic is ripe for a change, with the tall, bulky forward continuing where he left off in those pre-World Cup friendlies, playing very badly and struggling for goals. Their key players, the ones who played a significant role in getting their country this far; Milan Jovanovic, Milos Krasic, Marko Pantelic all need to show their true worth on Friday afternoon whilst praying their so often dependable back four, one that includes Premiership pair Nemanja Vidic and Branislav Ivanovic, remain rock-solid and watertight throughout if they wish to nick a result against all the odds here.

 

World Cup Preview – Germany V Serbia Betting Tips

Match Odds:

Germany – 1.67 Bet365
Draw – 4.00 bWin
Serbia – 6.00 SkyBet

 

Our Prediction: Germany to WIN – 1.67 Bet365

It’s difficult to oppose the Germans after watching them dismantle the Australians in their first outing, furthermore when you watch Serbia’s defeat to Ghana back over. However, the Serbians are a resilient bunch and it wouldn’t surprise us at all were they to bounce back in some fashion. Their defence has the stars, the big names to repel all German invaders and if they can produce a defensive performance worthy of knighthood status, a scruffy strike at the other end, probably the so far dismal Nikola Zigic, then Serbia could complete the turnaround and pick their last-sixteen hopes back up from the floor.

That’s one possible scenario for you, although we don’t believe Germany will go that far backwards as to let Serbia beat them when they are so close to securing progression from the group themselves. Joachim Loew’s men can almost smell the knock-outs, a stage of the competition they so often come into their own and we don’t see them letting up now. We doubt it will be another 4-star production but we do see the Germans reigning victorious once more.

Our Recommended Bet: Germany to WIN by 1 Goal – 3.60 Bet365




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