Germany V Spain Preview: Betting Tips & Odds – Wednesday, 7th July

5th July 2010 | World Cup Betting category: World Cup Previews & Predictions
World Cup Previews & Predictions

 

Germany V Spain

Wednesday, 7th July – 19:30 (GMT)
Moses Madhiba Stadium, Durban
Semi-Final

 

Germany

The Germans, arguably the most consistent national team there is, are bidding to become the first country to appear in no less than eight finals when they take on Spain for a place in the 2010 FIFA World Cup final in Johannesburg on Sunday. Were they to win it, and there’s no saying they won’t, then they will have surely have won the hardest World Cup yet, as both England and Argentina have had to be downed en route to a rightful berth into the last-four. Germany coach Joachim Low insists there will be no let up from his players, but surely they cannot continue playing the way they are which is out of their skin and thumping any side which dares stand in their way of a fourth FIFA World Cup title.

Once again we were blessed with an utterly mesmerizing display from the Germans, backing up their 4-1 humbling of England with a 4-0 rout of Argentina. We thought they were sensational against England but they were sheer briallance against Argentina right from the word ‘go’. Once they took an early lead through Thomas Muller, who incidentally missed the semi-final through suspension, there was no looking back, as the Germans continued to look menacing on the break and so resolute in defence. Despite their opponent boasting an array of forward talent; your Messi, Higuain and Tevez, Germany withstood everything that was thrown at them. In fact, Manuel Neuer was a passenger for the most part, although did look unconvincing when called upon, but on the whole it was another domineering performance from Germany, who continue to go from strength to strength in this tournament.

Quite how they will surpass their previous level of performance is beyond me as it was a footballing lesson for the eyes, but Germany will need to continue this fine vein of form if they are to push the reigning European champions all the way for a place in Sunday’s showcase. Their big names will have to show their worth once again, as they did against the English and Argentina. Bastien Schweinsteiger is having nthe tournament of his life in the heart of the German midfield, a stalwart as he watches over the defence whilst proving effective and useful in the attacking third as well. Mesut Ozil, who has been an inconsistent sort in his domestic career, has been consistently magnificent in these finals and is looking every bit the player of the tournament at this rate. While up front we have a forward gunning for the great Ronaldo’s scoring record of 15 goals in the finals of World Cup’s, with Miroslav Klose racking up four goals in South Africa so far and hungry for more on Wednesday no doubt.

Joachim Low needs another collective effort from his player on Wednesday, to once again work effectively as a team and as a unit. They will also need a great deal of patience as Spain are likely to retain possession for large periods of time and that could be a problem for a Germany team which has dominated possession in its last couple of games. We don’t for one minute expect another German rout, nor do we see the Germans outclassing their opponents, and so the Germans could come unstuck as in the knock-outs they’ve had it all their own way and that will change against Spain. It’s intriguing to see whether Germany can rise to this new challenge.

 

Spain

Spain are about to enter into uncharted waters on Wednesday, competing against a nation which has been there and done that on the footballing stage in what remains just their second ever semi-final appearance in a World Cup. However, what they lack in know-how and experience they make up for in talent, quality and technical ability as the world’s second best team aim to justify their FIFA Ranking by despatching of the team of the tournament so far in Germany.

The Spanish have made a meal of getting to the semi-final mind, with a 2-0 win over Honduras their largest and most comprehensive win so far of these finals. That doesn’t really matter though when you’re at this stage of the tournament, a point where only those who win are ever really remembered. Spain’s record in these finals currently stands at 4-0-1, with that one and only defeat coming against Switzerland in their opening game of the finals. It was a huge shock then but Spain have bounced back to life courageously, winning their following four matches. They have, however, achieved victory by the narrowest of margins, with both of their knock-out wins coming via 1-0 wins over Portugal and Paraguay. The notable characteristic about both of those teams were they defended very well, and it is peculiar how this current Spanish team have struggled to break down well-drilled defences. The Germans have been outstanding in defence in their two knock-out encounters, with only a Matthew Upson header finding its way past Manuel Neuer in the German goal, so Spain will need to go some if they’re to break through a well guarded and confident German rearguard.

All the talk beforehand is about two players; Fernando Torres and David Villa. The pair are two of the greatest forwards in today’s game, with David Villa prolific in the Spanish La Liga and for Spain, and Fernando Torres equally so for Liverpool in England. However, only one has fired in these finals so far and that’s the former, David Villa. The newly signed Barcelona ace is the tournament’s leading goalscorer with five goals and is looking to cement his Golden Boot claims with a goal or two on Sunday, whereas Torres hasn’t even found the goal as of yet, and there is even talk of Vicente Del Bosque dropping the Liverpool striker for the clash with Germany. We don’t believe for one second that Del Bosque will risk dropping a player of Torres’ calibre for a game o this magnitude, as Torres has proven in recent tournament’s alone that he can score big goals, while it was his strike against Germany two years ago which handed Spain their first major international crown for nearly a half-a-century.

The Spain we all came to love at the EURO’s in 2008 hasn’t been a part of South Africa 2010, at least not yet, but that doesn’t mean we can write them off. If anything the signs look good, as with Spain not playing particularly well, nowhere near the level at which we know they can perform, they’ve still managed to evade all the challenges presented to them. They’re in the last-four of the 2010 FIFA World Cup without playing to their full potential or capacity and that’s a dangerous thought. There will come a time, and it could very well be on Wednesday night, when Spain will show themselves to be the force to be reckoned with like they were two years ago. The worry though, what with the form and confidence of Germany right now, Spain will need to raise their game substantially if they are to qualify for their first ever final of a World Cup, as they try to emulate a feat Germany achieved back in 1974 when they lifted both the FIFA World Cup following their European Championship triumph in 1972.

 

Match Odds:

Germany – 2.90 WilliamHill
Draw – 3.30 Ladbrokes
Spain – 2.70 bWin

 

Our Prediction: Draw – 3.30 Ladbrokes

No matter what we threw into the equation, the draw kept poking its way out. The Germans have been exceptional in the knock-outs but will face their sternest test of the tournament so far in a Spanish side equipped to handle everything that Germany have to offer as well as give more back in return. The only difference between the two is Germany have come to the fore in South Africa, and then some, while the Spanish have yet to really establish themselves and match all the pre-tournament hype.

Germany have scored more goals in their knock-out victories over England and Argentina than Spain have in the entire competition, but their previous opponents have allowed them to dictate the tempo of the game while you cannot undervalue just how clinical and decisive grabbing that early goal is. In Spain, a team which will close Germany down far more when not in possession whilst retaining it in an almost flawless fashion themselves, Joachim Low will have to demand an even more resolute and industrious effort from his player as anything less than 100% will be punished. If we’re honest, Germany are the favourites in our opinion, but there’s no team better equipped to dethrone a team so full of confidence and boasting tonnes of momentum than Spain, so we’re split right down the middle with this one.

Recommended Bet: Under 2.5 Goals – 1.70 bWIn

 

Current Germany v Spain Odds:

 




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