Holland v Spain Betting Statistics – World Cup Final

10th July 2010 | World Cup Betting category: World Cup Previews & Predictions
World Cup Previews & Predictions

By Betting Stats or Octopus – Spain look strong favourites

Spain v Holland World Cup Final Betting
Spain to win: 6/5 at William Hill
Draw: 12/5 at Totesport
Netherlands to win: 11/4 at Bet365

This is one which the Netherlands may be happy enough to win ugly, as winger Arjen Robben says. It is true, against the Spaniards, that may be the only way. What Spain do so well, is keep the ball, and with being able to control all of that possession, the opposition simply cannot get enough of the ball to hurt them. The ball retention is better than any other team at the World Cup, and with the creativity from their masters Xavi and Iniesta, they have that lethal, defence splitting pass in them. The possesion that Spain manage to get, is something which helps them to win games, even if looks as if they have not gotten out of second gear themselves at South Africa 2010. Spain, through their midfield, are able to spread the ball from side to side of the pitch, and the opposition tire themselves out chasing Spanish shadows. Spain have not been exactly proficient in front of goal, despite David Villa being in sparkling form. They have missed hatfuls of chances, not helped by the poor form of Liverpool’s Fernando Torres. Torres is to blame for a lot of that, as he needs to be a much stronger presence in the centre of attack, while five goal David Villa roams out on the left hand side.

To Lift Trophy
Spain: 4/7 at BetFred
Netherlands: 13/8 at Coral

One of the key battles going the other way, will be Sergio Busquets v Wesley Sneijder. It will be the job of Busquets to keep Holland’s key man quiet. If the Spanish midfield can keep the ball away from Sneijder, then it is likely that Holland will struggle to make an impact at all. The Netherlands are hard to beat tactically, which is to coach Bert Van Marwijk’s credit, but they are nowhere near being an exceptional, world beating side when going forward. They have a few key players, like Sneijder, Robben and striker Robin Van Persie, but they are not a great side, certainly not at the technical level of Spain. The problem for Holland coach Van Marwijk may have been highlighted in Spain’s victory over Germany. Holland and Germany line up pretty much the same way tactically, and Spain easily snuffed out the threat of lone striker Miroslav Klose. The Netherlands cannot expect to get too much change out Spain with their lone striker Robin Van Persie, and therefore they will need to make every chance count. This is the big tactical problem for Holland, who like to play their way, and while it hasn’t been fluent, it has been working for them. Against Spain it could be a different matter.

Paul the Psychic Octopus got it right again in the Semi finals, predicting a win for Spain over Germany. He has tipped a win for Spain in the 2010 FIFA World Cup Final, like most people have. He has also tipped a win for Germany over Uruguay, after correctly predicting all of Germany’s World Cup results so far. But Busquets is a bit more pragmatic in knowing the task ahead. The more he gets on the ball, the more Spain will be likely to win. It could be as simple as that. Spain are favourites to lift the title, as another World Cup record looks set to tumble. No team who has lost their opening match has ever gone on to win the tournament, but that is exactly what Spain are on the threshold of doing. The World Cup Final will be all about possession. That is the main statistic which is catching the eye, and while it doesn’t appear that Spain really have been hitting the dizzying heights of their pretty passing game, their adjust passing game of keep ball is draining opposition in other ways. They have the potential to explode, they just need that early break through.

Holland V Spain head to head

Statistics should always play a big part in your World Cup betting, and the Final in Johannesburg will be your last chance to shine. If you had already back Spain or Holland as ante-post bets then you will be excited already, for those of you leaving it late, you won’t have such good prices, but studying stats can still give you an edge in bringing home some profit. Here are some 2010 FIFA World Cup Stats to help sway your betting:
 

Head to head ESP
NED Notes
Goals For/Against 7/2 12/5  
Passes 4206 3366  
Passes Complete 81%* 72% *Highest in tournament
Fouls Committed 98* 62 *Most in tournament
Shots/On Goal 103*/40 80/41 *Most in tournament
Corners 48 25  
Crosses 146 87  
Cards Y3 Y15* *Most in Tournament
  • Both teams have conceded Two Goals from outside of the penalty box
  • Spain have covered the greatest distance in possession of the ball
  • Holland have got 51% of their shots on goal, Spain just 39%
  • Spain have completed 765 short passes, to Holland’s 501
  • Spain have a 58.3% total possession in all of their games, Holland have 54%
  • Spain have outshot their opponents during the 2010 World Cup by 150%
  • Spain have launched 97 attacks to Holland’s 60 (most of Spain’s have come down the centre)

 

 




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