Italy v New Zealand Best Odds, Tips and Recommendations

19th June 2010 | World Cup Betting category: World Cup Qualification Previews & Predictions
World Cup Qualification Previews & Predictions

World Cup Odds against Italy

What to make of Italy, the defending World Cup champions? They certainly posed some interesting questions for anyone thinking of backing them in their World Cup betting. If you have already, then you may be a little nervous after their first match of South Africa 2010, but if you know the Italians and their game well, then you may be calm and realise that the Italians are slow starters. Granted, the Italian way is not to come out and run riot in pressing forward and attacking. They like to keep control of the game, by squeezing opposition and are more than happy to sit back and strike on the break. The Italians are probably the best in the world at being able to soak up sustained pressure, and somehow, more often than not, they seem to find a way to break through when it matters most. When they needed a goal to get themselves back into the game against Paraguay, they did it, albeit with a bit of luck after the Paraguay keeper completely misjudged a corner. The match personified what Italy are all about. Not very entertaining, but they are hard to beat in the long run. If you don’t punish them fully by taking your chances when they come, they have a stick ability which has served them well throughout their World Cup years. Coach Marcelo Lippi has experience at the back bone of his team, with World Cup winners around which the rest of the team is build. After all the criticism and doubts about their age, they showed that they have the legs for the tournament, but it was more a question of their quality. Certainly the new look midfield let them down, as the absence of their playmaker Pirlo was clear. But that was only the opening match, in what should be a long campaign for the Italians, and they will duly be unfazed. It is not an Italian side which is as good as the one which lifted the trophy four years ago, that is evident. But it looks to be a team which can grow, and potentially become a force in the tournament. They have been overlooked because of their age, but they should not be solely discounted out of contention because of it. A lesser team would have struggled to get back on even terms against Paraguay, and the Italians will know that that was their toughest game. They will be confident of beating New Zealand, and even if it is by one goal they will be happy. They will be without veteran keeper Gianluigi Buffon who went off injured in their opening fixture, and number two Frederico Marchetti will come in. That won’t take anything away from the Italian back line. Then it will be onto Slovakia in their final game, in another match where they will start as favourites. The Italians do not do things with a great deal of flair, and one area in which they are lacking experience, is up front. They are not blessed with a Roberto Baggio, an Alessandro Del Piero or anyone of such quality, but they have a fight and team spirit togetherness which other nations would be envious. Plus they have their trump card in Lippi. For the Italians, it literally will be all about starting slow and finishing big.

Italy World Cup betting: Italy could get drawn into a tough midfield battle in this one. The current side are not flashy, and Lippi will have had a long hard look at where they fell down in the opening match against Paraguay, and will have corrected things. The Italians simply needed to get a bit wider and earlier balls into penalty area to give their inexperienced strikers something to get on to. If they can bring their one touch passing game, they will pull New Zealand all over the park, and more importantly, keep the ball away from the heart of midfield, where the Kiwis can get stuck in. Defeat really is unthinkable for the Italians in this one, and therefore would get your betting behind Italy. If you are worried about them, then look for Draw No Bet, or find a 0 Asian handicap on them. Winning margin bets would not be a bad market to look in to, as the Italians are the kind of team who will be happy with a 1-0 victory.

Italy World Cup 2010 Stats
Played: P1, W0, D1, L0
GF/GA: 1/1
Cards: Y1, R0
Most Shots: Riccardo Montolivo, 5
Top Scorer: Daniele De Rossi, 1
Shots/On Goal: 10/5
Fouls Committed: 15
Total Passes: 611
Pass Completion: 70%
Last 5 Form: WDLDD

New Zealand looking forward to toughest World Cup test

The White Caps of New Zealand are playing in only their second World Cup, and they will have been delighted with their last minute point earned against Slovakia. New Zealand are the rank outsiders in Group E, and were expected to be walked all over, and now they will face a much tougher test in Italy. One thing the Kiwis will ultimately do, is put in some tough tackling in the midfield, in order to disrupt Italy’s passing game as much as possible. That will be the way to keep themselves in the game as much as possible, and then rely on quick long balls in behind the Italians defence. The Kiwis showed an penchant for the long ball against Slovakia, which ultimately paid off at the last minute, and with the Italian back line perceived as being so slow, it could work to new Zealand’s advantage, especially with the big presence of Shane Smeltz running around up there. Are New Zealand expected to get anything out of this game? Of course not, but then, in the second round of matches, were are seeing some upsets. Mexico toppling France, Algeria holding England, and Serbia beating early pace setters Germany. Italy were among the teams who punters fancied to be the most unsure of getting through their group out of the European nations, which is something of surprise given the easy draw they received. But points need to be earned, and New Zealand will be celebrating their first point and will go up against the World Champions with nothing to lose, and nothing to prove. The Kiwis may get back their vice captain Tim Brown for the Italy game, after he sat out the first match with concerns over his shoulder.

New Zealand World Cup Betting. They will be heavy underdogs for this match, and rightly so. They will play a tenacious, hard game, and won’t give up battling. They should have their hands full in coping with the way the Italians pass and keep the ball, meaning that the Kiwis will probably tire well into the second half. A momentous result for them would be a draw, and while the outright odds on that happening are pretty decent, you may be better served looking for a big plus in the Asian Handicap market for them. As they are expected to lose, anything which pays out on a draw, say around the +1.75 mark should be decent value, as Italy are unlikely to rack up the goals.

New Zealand World Cup 2010 Stats
Played: P1, W0, D1, L0
GF/GA: 1/1
Cards: Y2, R0
Most Shots: Chris Killen, Shane Smeltz, 2
Top Scorer: Winston Reid, 1
Shots/On Goal: 8/2
Fouls Committed: 17
Total Passes: 421
Pass Completion: 76%
Last 5 Form: LLWLD
 

Italy v New Zealand Betting Odds

Italy to win: 2/9 at Bet365
Draw: 6/1 at Ladbrokes
New Zealand to win: 16/1 at BetFred

Asian Handicap Betting Tip: Not particularly great odds around on this one, this is because of Italy being fine with a 1-0 win. Italy should be better than that against New Zealand, but this is almost a first game for them, a chance to stretch their legs without pressure and sharpen their tools up front. Backing Italy anything more than -1.25 probably isn’t worth it, so would swing the other way instead.
New Zealand +1.50 for 11/10 at Bet365
 

 

Current Italy v New Zealand Odds:

 



The tip is based on the personal opinion of the author. No success is guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly. 18+




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