Matt’s World Cup Final Betting Tips – From both sides of the coin (First Goalscorer & Correct Score)
With 62 matches played – 63 by the time Germany will have beaten Uruguay in the third place play-off – and yet all 63 pale in significance to the very last game of this month long spectacle – The Final. The Dutch arrive in Johannesburg with an immaculate record following a string of victories, 6 in total, a 2-1 win over Brazil their finest thus far. Whereas the Spanish have already tasted defeat in South Africa when losing 1-0 to Switzerland, of all the teams, but they quickly regained their footing and form which seen them lift the European Championship trophy two years ago in Vienna, Austria to win their following five matches..
So, does anyone really have any idea of who will run out winners on Sunday, or is everyone playing safe, like us, and picking the Spanish to lay claim to an historic European Championship/FIFA World Cup double? There’s little doubt Holland are tremendous value at a general 3.75 (11/4), while they were our initial pick before the tournament even kicked off, but there is an air of vulnerability surrounding their defence which has knocked many punters back in comparison to a now resilient Spain, who kept their third successive clean sheet of these finals when beating the team of the tournament in Germany in the second semi-final as well as winning their third successive game 1-0.
Spain are 3.20 (11/5) with PaddyPower to WIN to NILagain on Sunday and are 11/2 with VCBet and Ladbrokes to secure their first FIFA World Cup title by another 1-0 scoreline.
Holland:- Arjen Robben (14.00 Betfair)
Wesley Sneijder currently leads the way for Holland with five goals in six games and will be vying for the Golden Shoe alongside David Villa in Sunday’s show-piece, but it’s their snappy winger which has caught out eye, especially on Betfair. Some of the more generous bookies go 10/1 that Robben lands the first blow for Holland whereas Betfair currently have the Bayern Munich supremo available at 13/1 (minus small commission). Considering he’s been their most lively player, always on his toes and eager to beat his man, he’s another stunning piece of value from the Orange corner. Robben has no qualms whatsoever about shooting, wherever that may be, and he’s damn good at it too. The man can ever header, as shown against Uruguay in the semi-final, but it’s his proneness to coming inside on his favoured left-foot which makes him a deadly proposition.
Spain:- Fernando Torres (13/2 SkyBet)
We can’t be having the slim odds of 4/1 on David Villa scoring first in what is the biggest sporting spectacle on the planet, although his hunger to collect his first FIFA Golden Shoe will no doubt play in his and Spain’s favour. However, the man for us, considering he’s now drifted substantially in the markets, is Fernando Torres. While the Liverpool forward has yet to even open his account in South Africa, playing in a lethargic manner all the way through the tournament, he’s a proven match winner and it was Torres who clinched the 2008 EURO’s with a sublime chip over Jens Lehmann of Germany. Torres is a player for the big occasions and if Vicente Del Bosque’s opts for Torres instead of Pedro, who did play extremely well for 60 minutes or so against Germany, then we see no reason why his current price of 13/2 to open the scoring won’t be snapped up.
If Holland are to win then we don’t envisage it being by a narrow and slim scoreline, more along the lines of our prediction of 3-1. Why? Well, for starters Holland would probably need to make the breakthrough as Spain rarely squander leads, but were they to score first then Spain would have little alternative but to alter their approach slightly and commit more men forward than perhaps they originally planned nor wanted. If this does turn into an open contest then it will definitely play into the hands of Holland because they have the forward inventory to exploit the gaps left at the back with the pace and guile of Arjen Robben, Sneijder and Kuyt. If Holland are leading by say the 70th minute, we see the Dutch catching Spain out on the break and that’s why we like the look of 3-1 Dutch victory.
Spain 2-0 (17/2 BlueSquare)
Much like Holland really in that we feel the first goal is so crucial that were Spain to grab the early initiative, we don’t see the Spanish looking back for one second. Spain have proven on so many occasions that they become more relaxed when they finally get the lead and you would fear the worst from a Dutch perspective should Spain score first on Sunday. Their ability to not only keep the ball for prolonged periods of time but to also manoeuvre their opponents from one position to another like a puppet master is scary, but very impressive and so effective. It also frustrates opponents and we feel Spain will go on to win quite comfortably should they make the better start.
Remember, there are plenty of promotions out there with various bookmakers which could prove beneficial should Sunday’s game not go to your liking. For instance; PaddyPower will refund all losing FGS and Correct Score bets should the final end in a 0-0 stalemate. Whereas StanJames will refund all losing FGS bets were this game to end in a draw altogether and head into extra-time.
There are more out there, you just need to do some homework to ensure you get the best promotion to suit your betting taste.