The Netherlands remain value despite seeing a significant drop in price

2nd June 2010 | World Cup Betting category: World Cup Betting & Odds
World Cup Betting & Odds

For those of you that haven’t noticed, Holland’s odds to win this summer’s 2010 FIFA World Cup in South Africa have plummited in recent weeks. A nation many consider as the most talented country not to have won a World Cup, the Dutch, on Betfair alone, have nose-dived in the outright market quite significantly, with Bert Van Marwijk’s men readily available at around 16.5 but are now a less attractive 12.0. There hasn’t really been any one reason as to why their price has shrunk so apparently, it’s more than likely that punters have quickly come to realise that the Dutch have their familar squad of worldbeaters on paper, a team packed full of explosive and entertaining forward talent, that certainly boast both the credentials and potential to win a FIFA World Cup. And as their price has began to dimish,  at least in the sense of value, the part-time punters, those looking to have a random and speculative punt in the outright market, have noticed Holland’s popularity in the market and jumped on board. That is just one theory, although it could simply be the fact that Holland were a stunning price to win the first FIFA World Cup on African soil in the first place and punters have quickly snapped up the value on a team now generally perceived as the fifth highest rated side in the competition according to the outright betting market.


As far as we can recall, Bert Van Marwijk and Holland have played two pre-World Cup friendlies; beating North Americans Mexico 2-0 in Germany on May 26th and then there was their demolition job of Group E’s Ghana on Tuesday night (1st June) in Holland as the team left their homeland with a bang. All the big sides have attempted it, in their final game on home soil trying to put in a world-class performance will won’t only have the patriots standing up and taking notice but supproters from across the country beleiving that 2010 will be their year. Holland did just this with aplomb on Tuesday night, and if you had any doubt about whether the value boat had been missed on Holland their rout of Ghana may of had you thinking otherwise, and probably dashing to your local bookmaker to stick a few pounds on Oranje ending their World Cup duct in South Africa.

Holland were mightly impressive against Ghana without ever really breaking into too much of a sweat and overdoing it, although Ghana were a big disappointment in our eyes. Ghana’s decision to sit back and to press on only the select few occasions allowed those in Orange to get a feel of the ball, to grow in confidence and then assert themselves on the fixture. And against a Holland side which consists of some of the more lethal and destructive players in the world; Wesley Sneijder, Rafael Van der Vaart, Robin Van Persie and Arjen Robben amongst several others, that’s international suicide, or heaven in the eyes of the Dutch. In fairness though, Holland weren’t going full-pelt at Ghana although had they, the Dutch may have been out of sigh by half-time. As it turned out, Holland to just a 1-0 lead into half-time. That could be out first real problem with Holland, or a niggle, in that they are prone to the odd lazy performance every now and again, and while this game was only a friendly and the need to exert too much energy wasn’t really needed, if they don’t play to their full potential and capacity from day one, with the aim being to kill sides off as early as physically possible, Holland may come unstuck. Another concern of ours was this lull in the early stages of the second half, much like they did against Mexico a few days earlier, where they sat back for some reason and allowed their opponents, Ghana on this occasion, to familarise and become comfortable with the ball and enjoy a spell of pressure. Again, against a more experienced, renowned and talented side, Holland will get punished.


The positives though about how the Dutch go about their business is based around ‘explosions’ and by that we mean Holland have this unique ability to go from simmering to boiling almost instantously and this is mainly down to the fact they have so many classy individuals. Players like Arjen Robben, Afellay and Robin Van Persie are all accomplished dribblers of the ball, but it’s shooting from distance, to get in a dangerous goalbound attempt, that makes Holland stand out from the rest, as while some of the remaining ‘big’ teams can struggle to compete when enduring an off-day, Holland have players within their midst which can turn any game completely on it;s head with one gifted strike of the ball.

It’s always pleasing, especially for a punter, that when a side is struggling to assert themselves in the final third of the pitch, they have players which can strike a ball from distance with pace and precision like accuracy and for Holland it’s almost become a ‘Plan B’ should their fabulous interchanging and sleek pass-and-moves not prove effective. The latter feature of Holland’s play takes us onto our final point; counter-attack. The Dutch are arguably the best counter-attacking nation heading to South Africa in the summer, maintaining their reputation from EURO 2008 where they tore France and Italy to pieces with some blistering moves out of defence into attack. At times it’s quite unbelieveable to see especially live. While it may look as though it’s a rapid dash up the field from Holland, it’s all plan in that everyone knows their roles and it’s the simple fact that counter-attacking is a permanant feature within the Dutch style of play, an attribute which enables them to become even more of a threat in the attacking third and a trait upon many others which ensure Holland stand out from what is a competitive crowd, as while many other teams focus on one or two methods of playing, Holland don’t just have a Plan B, they also have a Plan C and possibly even a D. The Dutch are one of the more versatile nations, willing to play in a number of ways, and it’s of little surprise that punters have been taking chunks out of their price for weeks now ahead of the finals which kick off shortly.


Holland will take on Hungary at Ajax’s Amsterdam Arena before flying out to South Africa for the 2010 FIFA World Cup, where they’ll first take on Denmark on June 14th before later meetings with Cameroon and Japan in Group E. The Netherlands are widely expected to sail through their Group with their usual swagger when it comes to playing in the Group stage of a major international tournament and it won’t be until the knock-out stage of the competition until the Dutch will really be tested, as in the last-sixteen Italy could await them.


Holland Bets:

WIN the 2010 FIFA World Cup – 11/1 Bet365

To Reach the Semi-Final – 9/4 PaddyPower


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* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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