World Cup Bets
All World Cup 2014 slots have been filled, the draw for the tournament has been made and all nations know what lies ahead for them. At least in the group stage anyway. But you can always take a look ahead and project a probable outcome in the knockout stages as well. It’s important to look at this because it’ll give you an idea of who your favoured nation is likely to go up against. The World Cup is a feast of summer football and of course it brings with it a feast of top quality international football betting. Here we look at some of the most popular markets and provide our tips.
Thirty-two teams may be entering the fray at Brazil 2014, but it is likely that you are really only picking from a four-nation field. Who are they? Brazil, Argentina, Spain and Germany. You would expect all of them to be knocking around the semi final berths. But imagine if those four strongest teams did, who is likely to come out on top? Brazil naturally are favourites in the outright market as they are on home soil, but at 3/1 to take the title, are they great value?
Their knockers will point to them being a pretty young and inexperienced side and they will have immense pressure on them in their own back yard. Hosting the World Cup can certainly have both advantages and disadvantages. So Argentina perhaps make a stronger bet at 5/1, as they have an experienced, well rounded squad and if Lionel Messi is peaking, they have one of the best match winners in the world. No European side has ever won the World Cup in South America, so can Spain or Germany change that?
Spain may be written off because of what is deemed to be an aging side, but they have secured a major coup in getting Diego Costa and the star striker could be the key to getting close to retaining their title. Suddenly Spain have a world class number nine again, and interestingly at Brazil’s expense. But Spain are the masters at playing keep ball and grinding down opposition. They did it at Euro 2012 successfully at a slower pace, and it should be big factor for them in the heat of Brazil. Germany will have plenty of backers too, because they have the pace, power and class all over the pitch. There’s not a weak area for them, and they have had four year’s of ‘seasoning’ since South Africa 2010.
Frankly all of them make great value in an Each Way bet, but out of all the prices which could be found in the outright winner market at Bet365, the one that does stand out is Argentina.
This is a great market and quite a valuable one too because it generally isn’t too hard to pick out the group toppers. Brazil, Germany and Argentina are all expected to cruise through in top place for example from their respective groups, and the best way to approach this market is probably building small multiples. Certain groups are harder to call and that is where extended value is in. Would you go for Spain or the Netherlands in Group C? Would you back England, Italy or Uruguay in Group D? Taking a choice in the tighter groups is where the value is in topping up a banker in the outright market.
If you are looking for just a bit more security in your group betting, then you’ll want to dip into the To Qualify market. Naturally strong teams in easy groups aren’t going to be value, but you can sort of get a picture in most of the 2014 World Cup groups as to who is likely to muscle their way through to the knockout stage. There’s enough value here, even in looking at teams like England, Switzerland and Bosnia-Herzegovina at around 4/6 to have a wager on to qualify. Basically you are looking at the groups who have only one stand out strong side, because it’s then mostly a two-way scrap for second spot (not factoring in the group outsider).
This is a market which always incites a lot of pre-tournament interest and one that does not always necessarily lands at the feet of an out and out striking superstar. Who would have picked out Thomas Muller four year’s ago? Davor Suker in 1998? Oleg Salenko in 1994? Salvatore Schillaci in 1990? The 2014 World Cup is blessed with tremendous forward talent, with the likes of Cristiano Ronaldo, Lionel Messi, Neymar, Radamel Falcao, Gonzalo Higuain, Diego Costa, Robin van Persie, Edinson Cavani, Luis Suarez, Sergio Aguero and yes, Wayne Rooney.
The depth this time around is more than ever and Messi is heading up the favouritism and while he has somewhat failed to deliver before at the World Cup, he’s actually a good shout this time around with Argentina expected to go far, and all three of their group games look so easy, there’s a big chance to impress and at 8/1. It’s worth having a shot on the superstar. Other value could be in the internationally-unproven Diego Costa as Spain could rely on his goals, and perhaps Eden Hazard in the attack minded and slick Belgian side.