Uruguay odds to win World Cup 2014

5th April 2014 | World Cup Betting category: World Cup Previews & Predictions
World Cup Previews & Predictions

After taking fourth place at South Africa 2010, Uruguay are back to lay down a challenge, this time in more familiar territory at Brazil 2014. The plucky South American won a lot of plaudits four years ago, with their brave play and exciting attacking play through the likes of Edinson Cavani, Diego Forlan and of course, Luis Suarez who produced the most controversial moment of South Africa 2010 when he deliberately stopped a certain goal on the line with his hands against Ghana to prevent a certain winner for the Africans. Ghana missed the subsequent penalty kick and then lost out 4-2 in a penalty shoot out.

But Suarez’s appearance at this World Cup should be full of positives. Being one of the most prolific strikers in the English Premier League with Liverpool, big things will be expected of him at Brazil 2014. Suarez is currently trading at a price of 16/1 in the World Cup 2014 Top Goalscorer market, and the way that he performed over the domestic season in the EPL, then he will have some heavy backers there. He is a genuine world class talent when when you throw in Cavani and the evergreen Forlan, then you have a nation with plenty of goals in them. Suarez was top scorer with eleven goals in the CONMEBOL qualification zone, with PSG’s Cavani netting six.

However, Uruguay did struggle to make it to Brazil 2014 simply because of their defence, which was terrible. At their peak four years ago, Uruguay were tough to break down, organised in all aspects of midfield and defence. Now, not so much. They only finished fifth in the CONMEBOL qualification zone and while they scored plenty of goals, they finished with a 0 goal difference because they couldn’t back up their attacking play with any kind of defence. Fortunately, fifth place meant that they had to face AFC side Jordan in the playoffs, La Celeste winning through 5-0 on aggregate.

Uruguay odds to win World Cup 2014 at 28/1 seem to be a little generous given the way that they have played and the managerial changes they have gone through. They are nowhere near as strong as they were four years ago, but a 3-2 win over Argentina in their final CONMEBOL qualification match shows that they can still be a threat here and there.  They probably would have hoped for a less competitive group as they were lumped in Group D alongside England, Italy and Costa Rica. Still, they have been trading well, at 1/2 to quality and as second favourite in the Group Winner market at 15/8 behind the 7/4 favouritism of Italy. Uruguay open against Costa Rica on June 14th.

Four years ago they played with great grit and determination, but those levels aren’t quite there at the moment for La Celeste. Therefore Uruguay odds to win World Cup 2014 aren’t that valuable, as they probably missed their best chance in 2010 when everything was going well for them. Still, qualifying from their group will give them a shot against Colombia or the Ivory Coast (most likely) in the next round and either of those would be somewhat evenly matched sides for the Uruguayans to go up against. While they have the strike power that they  do, La Celeste will be a nuisance to sides. But come the latter stages, they may not have the defence to stand up to the test.

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