Uruguay V Germany Preview: Betting Tips & Odds – Saturday, 10th July
Uruguay V Germany Preview
Saturday, 10th July – 19:30 GMT
Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium, Port Elizabeth
World Cup 2010: Third Place Play-Off
The South Americans, despite missing out on the grand final with a 3-2 loss to Holland in the semi-final, have the opportunity to leave South Africa with third place honours as the prepare for their last game of the tournament on Saturday, as the Germans lye in waiting at Port Elizabeth’s Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium. Uruguay, currently ranked 16th in the FIFA Rankings, could also take huge strides towards the top ten with another win, so there’s still plenty to play for, although whether or not the players will see it that way is another matter.
You have to feel for Uruguay, who after some spirited efforts found themselves coming up a tad short of qualifying for the final on Sunday in Soccer City. Despite best efforts of Diego Forlan, who admitted after the game that he was carrying an injury into the Holland encounter and may well sit out Uruguay’s final game against Germany on Saturday, and the rest of the Uruguay team, they couldn’t conjure the win needed to book their place in a third FIFA World Cup final, where Spain would have been their opponents. Instead, Germany stand between them and their first ever third place finish. In two previous third place play-off’s, Uruguay have lost both having been defeated in 1956 by Austria and again in 1970 ironically by the Germans. Will lightening strike twice or will Uruguay exact their revenge?
There were two factors to make a note of in Tuesday’s thriller of a semi-final with Holland. The first was how lightweight Uruguay were in the final third without three-goal forward Luis Suarez, whose handball against Ghana in the last-eight encounter saw him given his marching orders. The Ajax man will, though, make his return on Saturday and will be aiming to bolster his tally for the tournament so far, providing coach Tabarez with far more forward options and another dangerous outlet. The bad news was Uruguay’s players looked exhausted, with their courageous efforts throughout the tournament finally catching up with them. They did somehow manage to grab a goal back late on, but the players looked shattered. Their star man and pin-up Diego Forlan admitted after the game that he wasn’t 100% and that he couldn’t play to his full capacity, while it would appear the rest of the team are beginning to feel the strain as well. So, with the Germans next up, it doesn’t bode well for the South Americans that another team who play quick and slick passing football will need taming some way or another.
Uruguay’s defence has been fairly watertight throughout the competition but against Holland there were clear signs that wear and tear were kicking in. Before that clash, Uruguay hadn’t conceded more than one goal in any of their previous four World Cup clashes. So to concede three in one game will have knocked their confidence, while there is a likelihood of them conceding a few more against a rampant German team who will be eager to regain their scoring confidence after failing to find the back of Spain’s net for the first time since their 1-0 loss to Serbia in the group. The only way we can see Uruguay winning this game is by keeping a clean sheet, so a mammoth defensive performance is needed you feel if they’re to claim third place, especially if Forlan doesn’t play any part in proceedings.
Before South Africa kicked off proceedings on June 11th in Johannesburg, not many anticipated another famous strong German push for the title. A little over three weeks in, and with some comprehensive wins under their belts; including 4-1 and 4-0 wins over England and Argentina respectively, only the brave few were opposing the Germans to land their fourth FIFA World Cup crown. The Spanish, though, had other ideas and a 1-0 loss in the semi-final to the reigning European champions meant Germany’s valiant pursuit of a fourth trophy was in vein despite the likelihood of Germany leaving South Africa as the most impressive teams of this year’s finals.
Joachim Low’s side have accumulated a total of 13 goals after six thrilling games, which is one more than finalists Holland. They are strong favourites to finish the tournament as the most prolific team (1.17 with Betfair to be the Highest Scoring Team), and are firm favourites to leave with the bronze medal. Only Uruguay stand in their way of a fourth World Cup third place finish, while the Germans boast three wins and just one defeat in previous third place play-off clashes, so the omens are in their favour. Our only concern, as like many other punters, is how well the Germans respond to bitterly falling at the semi-final hurdle to Spain. However, one look at their play-off record (3 Win, 1 Defeat) would instantly indicate that Germans are naturally a courageous and defiant bunch, boasting the ability to bounce back straight away following a sour tasting loss.
In our opinion, we don’t see Germany not winning on Saturday and claiming their fourth third place in the competition’s 80 year history. Moreover, were they to justify the early favouritism shown in them by bookmakers, with Germany a general 1.73 shot, with a win they’ll seal their second successive third place finish following on from their 3-1 defeat of Portugal on home soil in the 2006 finals. The players, though, will need to cast any thoughts of a brisk post-tournament holiday on hold for now, as while they’ve done remarkably well to defy the poor opinion bestowed on them before the tournament, supporters back home will not appreciate a loss on Saturday one little bit. Third place is the minimum German fans now expect and is down to the players, those who have performed stoutly throughout the competition, to put in one final courageous effort in order to ensure the team leaves South Africa with their pride firmly in tact and glowing.
Joachim Low is characteristically keen to finish South Africa 2010 on a high and will be aided by the return of one of the stars of the tournament in Thomas Muller. The Bayern Munich play-maker missed the semi-final defeat to Spain through suspension but will return on Saturday to face Uruguay knowing a couple of goals could see him claim the Golden Boot award. The same applies to Miroslav Klose, who with four goals to his name is hot on the heels of David Villa for his second Golden Boot success, as well as Ronald’s (Brazil) all-time scoring record of 15 goals in 4 World Cup’s. Despite pre-season looming large, we expect the core; Schweinsteiger, Ozil, Muller, Klose, Mertesacker, all to start against Uruguay, as Germany look to cap a promising campaign off with style.
Uruguay V Germany Betting Tip
Our Prediction (who will win): Germany to WIN – 1.73 SkyBet
Anything less against a tiring Uruguay would be a shock in our opinion, as would it be back home in Germany. Joachim Low will shown no signs of letting up on Saturday and will field a strong team against the South Americans in a bid to finish on a high note. There will be a number of players looking to impress and hungry for goals, so we see no reason why Germany won’t turn up and perform, and more importantly score goals, against a Uruguay team which could be on the brink of capitulating following an enduring campaign and a bitter semi-final loss to Holland.
Despite the ruggedness at which Uruguay tend to defend, there’s goals in this game for Germany. Miroslav Klose, a player who will be well aware that South Africa is his final World Cup and so his last chance to surpass or at least the great Ronaldo’s World Cup scoring record of 15 goals, is the stand out player bet on Saturday to find the back of the net, as there’s no doubt the rest of the German team will strive to ensure Klose gets chances at least to beat Ronaldo’s record.
Recommended Bet: Miroslav Klose FGS – 5.50 Bet365
Current Uruguay v Germany Odds: