Uruguay V Holland: First Goalscorer Betting

5th July 2010 | World Cup Betting category: World Cup Previews & Predictions
World Cup Previews & Predictions

 

Uruguay V Holland

Tuesday, 6th July – 19:30 (GMT)
FIFA World Cup, Semi-Final

 

Pre-tournament, Holland blew Ghana, who finished as a losing quarter-finalist, and Hungary, a team which pushed both Denmark and Portugal close in qualifying, completely out of the water with 4-1 and 6-1 victories respectively. Bert Van Marwijk’s men demonstrated their forward potential in those two pre-World Cup friendlies and it made the rest of the footballing world stand up and take notice that the Dutch were once again in town to cause havoc in front of goal. With five games down; Group E, Round of 16 and the quarter-final all conquered, Holland have only managed eight goals and it’s a far cry from the form shown in the weeks leading up to the finals. Granted they’ve played against stiffer opposition, but from a punter’s point of view it’s restricted the amount of goalscorer success so far in these finals, with Holland yet to even surpass the two goal marker.

 

Holland’s leading scorer so far in South Africa isn’t necessarily a player you would have hand-picked beforehand, although he’s exceptionally talented at what he does nonetheless. Wesley Sneijder (7/1 Bet365), a treble winner with Inter Milan, leads the way for Holland with four goals and has a three goal cushion over the remaining Dutch scorers of Dirk Kuyt (8/1 PaddyPower), Robin Van Persie (5/1 Coral), Arjen Robben (6/1 Ladbrokes) and Klass-Jan Huntelaar. It was Sneijder’s two goals against Brazil in the previous round which produced the biggest shock of these finals thus far, and anyone who can locate the back of Brazil’s goal twice in a single game is rightly considered a prime contender to score in the next encounter, which just so happens to be against lesser opposition in Uruguay.

BUT, we still don’t rate his chances of opening the scoring tomorrow. His brace against the Brazilians was a mixture of being in the right place at the right time and somehow scabbing a goal which should have never of been his – with FIFA awarding Sneijder with Holland’s first goal despite the ball clearly coming off Felipe Melo as the ball somehow found its way to the back of the net. Moreover, Snejder is an architect at heart, footballing wise, at his primary concern on Tuesday will be to create chances, whether that be for Van Persie or the onrushing wingers; Robben and Kuyt. Of course, the Inter Milan play-maker has never been afraid to have a pop from distance, while he does take the odd set-piece here and there.

 

Robin Van Persie should be the first name to spring to mind but his miserable displays so far mean he is of little value, especially at odds of around 5/1. He does take some of their free-kicks, and with that gifted left-foot of his anything can happen. Instead, however, the wide players of Dirk Kuyt and Arjen Robben boast more punting appeal.

Fans and followers of the Premiership will know all about Dirk Kuyt‘s antics inside the oppositions penalty area, always ready and waiting to sniff out a chance and is so often the player at which the ball somehow lands at his feet with the goal gaping. He’s also a master at pouncing on rebounds, and in a team where a number of players look to shoot from distance, he’ll fancy his chances of poking one home from close range.

Arjen Robben needs little introduction. He was superb for his club Bayern Munich last season when scoring 23 goals from a wide position, while it hasn’t taken him long to make an impact for Holland in South Africa despite playing just two and a bit games. Almost his first touch of the ball in these finals was a blistering shot from just outside the box against Cameroon, to which his effort smashed off the woodwork and into the path of Huntelaar, who scored his first of the tournament. He opened the scoring against Slovakia with a trademark Arjen Robben goal. Because he plays on the right, being primarily left-footed, it enables Robben to cut inside and have a strike at goal on his favoured foot. Against Slovakia, Robben found the bottom right-hand corner of the goal with deadly perfection. He wasn’t as effective against Brazil but he did play a part in getting Felipe Melo sent off, as well as winding everyone up with his persistent diving.

 

There’s little chance of anyone else scoring for Holland, although Giovanni Van Bronckhorst (50/1 Coral) has been known to take strides forward before unleashing a whizzing effort from distance. In 104 caps though, the Holland skipper has scored just five times.

 

For Uruguay, it’s difficult to see past Diego Forlan (17/2 Bet365) scoring now that Luis Suarez (3 Goals) is suspended. Edinson Cavani (14/1 Bet365) will no doubt lead the line once again but he hasn’t looked like scoring in any of their games so far, but Cavani could have a new striking partner in Sebastian Abreu (12/1 Bet365) were Oscar Tabarez to opt for the same formation which has served Uruguay well in these finals up till now, with Forlan playing just off the two strikers. Abreu shown us he was a cool customer when calmly and coolly sticking away the winning spot-kick against Ghana in the previous round, so could be a decent bet what with having an abundance of composure. He doesn’t have a too bad record for his country either, accumulating a total of 26 goals in 58 senior appearances. Boasting a better ratio than Luis Suarez and Diego Forlan, whilst it puts Cavani’s 2 goals in 17 internationals well and truly in the shade.

If you’re looking for some outside value then why not take a chance on Diego Lugano (33/1 Ladbrokes). The Uruguay captain has a 10% strike rate while on international duty ( 4 Goals in 47 Caps) and is one of those players who isn’t afraid to stick his head in where it hurts. He will be a threat from set-plays throughout and appears the only piece of value outside of the forward trio.

 

Goalscorer Tips:

Dirk Kuyt First Goalscorer – 8/1 PaddyPower
Giovanni Van Bronckhorst (Value Punt) – 50/1 Coral

Sebastian Abreu First Goalscorer – 12/1 Bet365
Diego Lugano (Value Punt) – 33/1 Ladbrokes

 

PaddyPower ‘Bore-Draw’ Promotion: If this game finishes 0-0, our Irish friends will refund all losing First Goalscorer bets, as well as losing Correct Score, Last Goalscorer and Scorecast bets.




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