World Cup 2010 Germany Odds & Betting Tips
Betting Guide to Germany
Germany again showed just why they are such a potential threat to the outright favourites in World Cup Betting, as they put on a show in beating England. But, when it comes down to the nitty gritty, did England simply make Germany look much better than they really are? Or are Germany a class above. What the Germans have is youth and youth very often equals inexperience. But, joining Ghana in the last eight, two of the youngest squads in the entire tournament are not letting inexperience count for anything. Simply if their players are good enough, then they are going to be pulling on the national jersey. So where does this leave Germany in terms of World Cup betting? Have Germany looked anything other than an average side, made to look better by opposition? They demolished Australia and England, but found the going much tougher against Ghana when they were match for speed and ambition. More importantly, as they go into their quarter final match against Argentina, will they have the upper hand in attack over the South Americans?
The last time the two countries met, was in an international friendly in Germany in March. Argentina won that one 1-0, but switched from an attacking formation to a defensive one, very cleverly and deliberately to counter the attacking threat from the Germans. It was also the Germans who knocked the South Americans out at the quarter final stages at the 2006 World Cup. There is good history, and some good current form to suggest that this will be something of a spectacle. You have two of the best attacking sides at the tournament coming together, and while Germany do not quite look to have the stability and consistency of a world beating team, perhaps it is their unpredictability which makes them such a threat. They triumphed against Ghana when the result could have been so very different, and that shows the ability to win when backs are against the wall. The old factor of grinding out results as well as demolishing teams. Perhaps the defeat against Serbia served them well, and brought them down to earth after their thrashing of Australia. Germany lost Klose to a second bookable offence, and missed a penalty, so while they were defeated, they had their chances with ten men.
Tactics: Germany play one of the more expansive modern systems at the World Cup, and was one of the reasons why England had a lot of problems with them. They essentially go with a 4-5-1 with the immensely talented youngster Mesut Oezil sitting in front of the midfield, and just behind lone striker Miroslav Klose. With holding midfielders in the centre in Sami Khedira and Bastian Schweinsteiger, Germany get the most out of the full width of the pitch by playing two wide men, which stretch defences. Out on the wings are Lucas Podolski and Thomas Mueller, which puts a strong attacking influence on the team, but the balance in the middle of the park, essentially a triangle of three players, means that they are still able to out number a 4-4-2 in the midfield area, which is exactly what they did against England. They always seem to have an extra man in space when it matters and the system works great for breaking quickly on the counter attack. The way to counter the German system would be to match them in numbers in the midfield. Both Serbia and Ghana did it to some extent (although slightly differently) and that is why they both gave Germany a tough time. As with any system though, you have to have the right personnel to do the job. Germany have it, because of youthful confidence in themselves. They play the ball quickly on the deck and are bold. Fortune favours the brave as they say.
Coach: Joachim Loew – the current coach was Jurgen Klinsmann’s right hand man when he was at the helm of Germany. Loew, even from back then is credited with being the tactical genius which has taken German football forward. Since around 2004, Germany have taken on a much more positive offensive mindset to their matches, and they have embraced attacking talent. Fortuately for them, the coach has had a wealth of youngsters to call upon, and he has not been afraid to use them. Players like Oezil were pivotal to Germany’s Under 21 success on the World Stage, and Loew took Germany’s youngest ever World Cup squad to South Africa. It may have been bold, but that is what German football is all about at the moment.
Germany World Cup 2010 Stats
Germany 4, England 1
Germany 1, Ghana 0
Germany 0, Serbia 1
Germany 4, Australia 0
Goals: 9 For, 2 Against
Cards: Y7, SY1, R0
Top Passer: Bastien Schweinsteiger (Passes 298 Completion Rate 81%)
Most Fouls: Bastian Schweinsteiger 8
Last 10 Match Germany Form: WDDLWWWLWW
Probable Route to Winning the 2010 FIFA World Cup: Argentina (Q/F), Spain (S/F), Brazil (F)
Germany Betting Tips
Stage of Elimination
Quarter Finals: 7/10 at Bwin
Semi Finals: 15/4 at Bwin
Winners: 7/1 at Bet365
Runners Up: 8/1 at Bet365
To Reach Final
No – 5/9 at Bwin
Yes – 5/2 at Bwin
Germany’s Top Goalscorer at Ladbrokes
Thomas Mueller 6/5 (3 goals)
Miroslav Klose 5/2 (2 goals)
Lucas Podolski 5/2 (2 goals)
Mesut Oezil 6/1 (1 goal)
Cacau 10/1 (1 goal)
Tip: Germany are capable of beating Argentina. There, it is out there, it has been said. Because they are a positive side, and because Argentina have shown signs that there are holes to be exposed in their defence, Germany are capable of scoring against them. Their own defence has held up quite well, and they should be evenly matched against Argentina. It will all depend on what Argentina do really, whether Maradona switches to a defensive 4-4-2, or sticks with his attacking 4-3-1-2. What it all really could come down to, is the match up between Oezil and Messi, who is more influential on the day. German have the attacking power to push the Argentineans back, and if the space is open on the pitch, then it could be a fantastic exhibition of football, with either team being able to sneak it.
Betting Tip: Germany +0.50 Asian Handicap 5/8 at Bet365