World Cup 2014 Top Scorer Odds
Making the decision of who is likely to finish as the top goalscorer at the World Cup is always a popular betting market to dip into. This is a market which is far trickier than picking the outright winner of the World Cup itself. That is because there is a far bigger market to start with and once in a while, there is a relative unknown who comes through to top all the favourites. Remember Salvatore Schillaci at Italy 1990 with his six goal haul?
Since the 1974 World Cup (inclusive) the biggest goal haul at a single tournament has come from Brazil’s Ronaldo who banged in eight at South Korea/Japan 2002. Of the last ten editions of the World Cup, the Golden Boot award has been won by a six goal haul on six of those occasions. So that’s pretty much the mark you are looking at. In South Africa 2010, Thomas Muller, David Villa, Wesley Sneijder and Diego Forlan all finished with five goals each, but Muller got the title because of having assisted more goals than the others in the running.
So who has the ability to bag themselves at least five goals to get them in the picture to finish Brazil 2014 as top scorer? Well, of course, two names immediately jump to mind and that is Lionel Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo. Strangely enough, at the last World Cup in South Africa, Lionel Messi didn’t get on the scoresheet at all. That was partly down to confusing tactics that Argentina coach Diego Maradona decided to baffle just about everyone with. Cristiano Ronaldo only managed one goal, as Portugal failed to score in three of their four games played. Their only exception being a 7-0 win over North Korea.
So you can expect bigger and better things this time around surely? Lionel Messi is trading at 7/1 outright favorite in the World Cup 2014 Top Scorer odds. Cristiano Ronaldo has been holding his ground at about 14/1 with most bookmakers across the board in World Cup 2014 odds. This time around, Argentina have an easy looking group against Bosnia, Iran and Nigeria so there should be plenty of chances for goals for Messi. While Ronaldo will go up the defences of Germany, Ghana and the USA. Similarly there are chances there too.
At South Africa 201, all four of the players who finished with a five goal haul (see above) came from the teams who made it to the final four. So that will trend towards the fact that the more games that a player gets under his belt, then it is naturally going to create the opportunity for more goals. But this year’s Top Goalscorer market runs pretty deep. Sergio Aguero is 18/1 and could have a huge part to play in Argentina’s success. Will he capitalise on defences trying to mark Lionel Messi out of the game? You also have to count Gonzalo Higuain into that equation as well.
We haven’t touched on Brazil either. Luis Felipe Scolari’s Selecao are trading as outright favourites and so they should get the games under their belt. Their golden boy is Neymar, and while he hasn’t lit up La Liga on his first season with Barcelona, big things will be expected of the youngster on home soil. He is 14/1 alongside Cristiano Ronaldo as joint-second favourite in World Cup 2014 Top Scorer odds. Dark horse shots in the field could be Spain’s much-vaunted striker Diego Costa, while Holland’s record scorer Robin van Persie is hovering around too. For England, Wayne Rooney is shortest priced at 50/1, with the Three Lions not expected to get too many games under their belt.