World Cup Betting – European Play-Off Trixie

15th November 2009 | World Cup Betting category: World Cup Qualification Previews & Predictions
World Cup Qualification Previews & Predictions

A Trixie bet to cover the other three European Wolrd Cup Qualification Play-off that are happening on Wednesday night, could bring a nice return. The three games covered here are Bosnia v Portugal, Ukraine v Greece and Slovenia v Russia and the idea is to take advantage of the European World Cup Play-offs, excluding the France v Ireland game, in order to add interest in those other fixtures, while hoping the Irish can find a way to join England at South Africa 2010.

A Trixie bet is when you make three different wagers, but are covered by four bets. Included in a Trixie is the treble on all three results coming up, and three double bets. Naturally this gives a little more coverage than going all out on just a treble, which is notoriously hard to land. Taking the Trixie instead gives you a higher chance of return, as you spread your stake out, which goes on all four bets, instead of taking taking individual bets.

For a Trixie to pay off
, then you will need to land at least two of the selections in order to see any kind of return. This can be looked at in two ways, with regards to the World Cup Play-Offs. Firstly there is the option to just go for the individual games on the night, trying to target just the results. Alternatively, because these are games which can go to extra time and penalties, you could also opt for taking the route of “To Qualify” bets, picking the team that will come through the tie in whatever manner necessary. Or indeed you could mix and match from the different games, but obviously this is going to need to be taken at just one Bookmakers. Let’s take a look at what is likely to happen on Wednesday night:

Bosnia (0) v Portugal (1): This could be the game which brings the biggest reward, as it will rely on Bosnia overturning a 1-0 deficit, and there is the risk of Portugal scraping a vital away goal, whereas Bosnia failed to do so. Bosnia had the better of the encounter in Portugal, despite the result. They have good firepower up front and are an attack minded side. Whether they can avoid Portugal catching them out with the away goal is another matter, but you can expect Bosnia to go at them hard. It is hard to see Ireland or Slovenia overcoming their deficits, and realistically Bosnia have the best chance. Not strong odds for any of the selections, as this is how close it is. But Bosnia to qualify makes a nice fulcrum for a Trixie.

Match Odds:
Portugal to win: 7/5 at Boylesports
Draw: 12/5 at SkyBet
Bosnia to win: 11/5 at Bet365

To Qualify Odds:
Portugal: 2/7 at SkyBet
Bosnia: 10/3 at BetFred

Slovenia (1) v Russia (2)
Slovenia gave themselves a late lifeline with a goal against Russia, just to keep the tie alive somewhat. Russia though were by far the better team on the day, and look to have enough quality to qualify for World Cup 2010. They have quite a bit of flair, as well as control with Guus Hiddink at the helm, and while Slovenia will be relishing taking down Russia, they have a lot to do. Just one more goal from the better Russians will kill this tie off in an instant. Slovenia just do not have enough goals in them to outplay and conquer Russia.

Russia have been strong favourites to come through this, and this is reflected in the odds. Russia to win on the night represents the best odds out of the likely outcome, but for more certainty, then the Russians to qualify isn’t too bad in the grand scheme of things.

Match Odds:
Slovenia to win: 23/10 at Expekt
Draw: 23/10 at Bet365
Russia to win: 11/8 at Paddy Power

To Qualify Odds:
Russia: 15/8 at Expekt
Slovenia: 10/3 at 888Sport

Ukraine (0) v Greece (0)
Every chance that this game will head into extra time as there is very little to choose between the two sides. It is really tough to pick out a winner from this one, although if there is something to give an edge, it will be the fact that it is back in Ukraine. Both teams like the defnsive side of the game, and they did cancel each other out a little bit. There were a couple of good chances to take an advantage on both sides, but both failed to capitalise. This game really could come down to one chance being taken on the night, and the Ukrainians did have that little bit more creativity. Away from home though, Greece will prove to be an even more stubborn side and are more than capable of snatching this away from the Ukraine.

Match Odds

Ukraine to win: 10/11 at Boylesports
Draw: 5/2 at SkyBet
Greece to win: 7/2 at Bet365

To Qualify
Ukraine: 13/9 at Expekt
Greece: 6/5 at SportingBet

A possible Trixie selection based on the odds would be:

Bosnia to Qualify: 10/3 at BetFred
Russia to Qualify: 15/8 at Expekt
Ukraine to Qualify: 13/9 at Expekt

A £1 stake (which would mean that the stake would be £1 each on the four bets within the Trixie) on that would bring a return of around £60 if they all came in. Of course, the selections above will be based on only one Bookmakers price, those above are just the current best prices for the events to be found at the moment. Even swapping out Bosnia for Portugal, who do have a lead, would return around £20 for all three results. Even Greece are more than capable of qualifying too, as one away goal could be curtains for the Ukraine. This is the fun of a Trixie, mix and match, and by taking on more bets the return is higher at a little less risk than betting big on one outcome.



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