2018 World Cup Odds to win / Outright Winner

World Cup Winner Odds

It will be the question on everyone’s lips this summer and for a lot of punters, it is already there. That question of course is, who will win the 2018 World Cup? Thirty-two nations are going to be in the frame at the starting line but the likelihood is, is that it will be one of just a select few who actually manages to get their hands on the famous trophy.

In the history of the World Cup there have only been eight different nations win it and between them, Brazil, Germany and Italy have won thirteen of the previous twenty editions. So there’s not much room it would appear for an underdog to come through the field and land the win. So looking at the 2018 World Cup winner odds, is it worth looking beyond the big four for a winner? Let’s take a look.

World Cup 2018 Winner Odds*

(at Bet365)

Team Odds*
France 1.44
Croatia 2.75

(betting odds taken on July 12th, 2018 at 00:35 p.m.)



The Germans are four-time winners of the World Cup and they are the reigning champions after strolling their way to victory four years ago in Rio. They are as a strong as ever, and they have been on a personal run of form since losing at Euro 2016. They have some fantastic new blood coming through like Timo Werner, Leroy Sane and Sandro Wagner. They are going to run, work hard and have a fantastic balance and at 9/2 outright odds with bet365 are not unappealing* (betting odds taken at 7:46 p.m. on April 5th, 2018). It is going to take something special from someone to knock them off their perch. They have a comfortable group stage against Mexico, Sweden and South Korea so can ease their way into the tournament.


The Selecao are a nation still in pain. They haven’t forgotten what happened to them four years ago in Belo Horizonte. That game where Germany embarrassed them 7-1. That was far from the Brazil that the world knows and loves, but taking nothing away from the team, they were sensationally unplayable in that semi-final scrap. Four years on and Brazil looks even stronger. They have two super keepers competing for a starting place, and experienced players at the back like Dani Alves and Thiago Silva. They have game changers in the middle of the park in Philippe Coutinho and Willian and upfront they can boast Roberto Firmino, Gabriel Jesus and of course, Neymar. Arguably they are even better than they were four years ago. Expect them to be back with a vengeance.


At the time of writing (in April 2018), Spain had remained unbeaten since a loss at the 2016 European Championships. They have slowly but surely been peaking for 2018 and in March they faced Argentina in a friendly and destroyed the South Americans 6-1. Yes, it was a friendly but that old flair of Spain, which saw them win the 2010 World Cup, coupled with a bit more of a higher tempo and youthful legs made them look very impressive. They have a world class back line including keeper David de Gea and have the brilliance of young players in the middle of the park like Isco, Marco Asensio to complement the old guard of David Silva, Sergio Busquets and Andres Iniesta. They will have to be in competitive mood from the start to deal with Portugal in the group stage, but they are well in form and potentially peaking at the right time to steal in a little under the radar ahead of the Germans and Brazilians. They are the best each way shot at 6/1 odds* (betting odds taken at 7:46 p.m. on April 5th, 2018) in the market.


The French make up the big four ahead of the 2018 World Cup and rightly so. They have an embarrassment of riches in their squad. They are strong up top with the likes of Antoine Griezmann and Kylian Mbappe, to Paul Pogba in the middle of the park and Hugo Lloris between the sticks. The thing about the French is that they have a great well of resources to call on if things aren’t going their way. There is plenty there to suggest that they are capable of at least being at the business end of the tournament and anything short of a semi-final would be a huge disappointment for them. After their failure in the Euro 2016, they will want to go big here.

The Winner

So if you narrow the field down, who gets the win? France probably may fall down in final execution and they don’t look quite as self-assured as the other three. Spain are moving into gear nicely, but may just lack the goal output down the line. World Cup title defences are so hard to pull off (only Italy and Brazil have done it before) and even though arguably they are the best in the world, we are passing on Germany and putting our eggs in the Brazilian basket.

They look so much more balanced than even four years ago even in terms of midfield defensive roles. However, the caveat will be Neymar they need their talisman, with him, they go all the way, without, Germany take it.


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* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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