World Cup Top Goalscorer Betting Odds

World Cup Top Goalscorer

The FIFA World Cup has a habit of throwing up a surprise package here and there in the race for the Golden Boot at a tournament. Think of the unknown Salvatore Schillaci at Italia ‘90 and even just the four years ago when Colombia’s James Rodriguez won the title with his five-goal haul.

But over the last few editions of the famous tournament, there have been some more established names who have risen to the top to walk away with the Golden Boot, such as Thomas Muller, Miroslav Klose and Ronaldo. Here we take a look at the main contenders heading to Russia 2018.

Player Goals Odds*
Player Goals Odds*
Harry Kane 6 1/7
Denis Cheryshev 4
Romelu Lukaku 4
Antoine Griezmann 4
Christiano Ronaldo 4

Odds for Harry Kane taken at Bet365; Last Update 8th July 2018, 3:31 p.m.


Lionel Messi

Will this be his last World Cup? He has only the five World Cup goals in his career, which perhaps a little surprising given his talent. That’s the same amount as Australia’s Tim Cahill and former France legend Michel Platini managed. But Messi gets another crack at winning the Golden Boot, but his side may let him down. Argentina have not been in great form for a couple of years now and Messi isn’t anywhere near as prolific for his country as he his for his club Barcelona. With the Albiceleste looking out of sorts, Messi is worth opposing.


The Brazilian has a staggering return of 53 goals in 83 appearances for Brazil. He is the main man for them and he will always get chances. If he is fit enough and we mean fully fit, then he is playing in such a dynamic and attack-minded Brazilian side that he can make a good run at the title. It will hinge on his fitness and Brazil have an easy group stage campaign, so Neymar could easily get himself off to a flying start. Well worth considering.

Timo Werner

The young German has been raising and raising his stock. The 22-year-old, who plays for RB Leipzig only made his full international debut in 2017 but at the time of writing has returned seven goals in twelve appearances so far. He won the Golden Boot at the FIFA Confederations Cup last summer as well. He was prolific and youth level and has the world at his feet. His pace and power could make him a big impact.

Cristiano Ronaldo

That goal. You know the one. The epic overhead kick for real Madrid against Juventus in the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals this season. Yes, that is Ronaldo. What will he deliver on the World Stage? His first ever World Cup goal was at the 2010 editions with a strike against North Korea. Surprisingly for a man of his calibre that is only one of two World Cup goals, his other coming against Ghana four years ago. He is now more of a penalty box target man than picking the ball up deep and attacking. Portugal may struggle to make it beyond the round of sixteen and his chances of a World Cup Golden Boot could be subdued.

Antoine Griezmann

The French star has every chance of being in this race. He is leading the front line for Les Bleus and has had another fantastic season under his belt for Atletico Madrid at club level. With France expected to go deep into the tournament on the back of their power and creativity, then Griezmann makes a fantastic each way option at bet365 in the World Cup Top Goalscorer market. He was top scorer at Euro 2016 let’s not forget. He can be in amongst it.

Harry Kane

If the goals start flowing freely from Harry Kane then he could lead England to great things. Their hopes rest on him transferring his tremendous club form over to the world stage. He’s good enough but is the team around him good enough to get him the chances he needs to contribute? He personally will naturally be looking for better after a dreadful showing at Euro 2016. He has the world at his feet and a good tournament for him could potentially see him heading off to Spain next season.

Romelu Lukaku

The Belgian is a force in the box and Belgium are one of the dark horses for the tournament. The thing with Lukaku is that he is as capable of not showing up on the day as he is to tear a defence apart. That lack of consistency may hinder his chances of fully getting to this race, but will get two easy games in the group stage against Tunisia and Panama.

Gabriel Jesus

The Brazilian has a great record at international level. He has scored nine goals in fifteen appearances for his country at the time of writing this in early April 2018. He is undoubtedly talented and if the youngster starts tearing it up with Neymar, or even as a replacement for Neymar if he’s not fully fit, he can carry the load. He may not get all the way to top the charts but will continue well for the Selecao.

Other players

There are so many big names heading to Russia 2018. Luis Suarez and Sergio Aguero, for example, aren’t even among the frontrunners, nor Germany’s Thomas Muller. Edinson Cavani has had a prolific season for PSG and he had Suarez form a deadly duo for Uruguay, but they have a tough draw ahead of them. Spain’s Diego Costa, Alvaro Morata and Isco are all fairly big prices. Then there’s Robert Lewandowski at 25/1 who is just a goal-scoring machine for Bayern Munich and Poland. But the limited chances of Poland making a deep run will hinder his chances. If he was playing for Brazil, Germany or France he would be the tournament outright favourite probably.


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* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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