World Cup 2018 Outsiders predictions & betting odds

31st May 2018 | World Cup Betting category: World Cup Betting & Odds
World Cup Betting & Odds

One of the fun things to consider about World Cup 2018 betting, once you have dialled in on an outright winner selection, is to go and look at those outsiders who are trading at bigger odds but who do also harbour the potential of pulling off an upset.

For the purposes of the World Cup 2018 outsiders predictions, you would have to start looking beyond the big four front runners of Brazil, Germany, Spain and France.

Looking at the way the World Cup 2018 is going to set up, if one of those big four doesn’t win it then it would be something of a surprise. History is on the side of it being one of the top teams who gets the title at the end of the tournament.

It such a tough thing for any underdogs to come through a field and upset the apple cart but fret not because there are alternative ways to back World Cup 2018 outsiders which we will look at later.

Main World Cup 2018 outsiders

You can lump three nations into this and they are Argentina, Belgium and England. It’s nice to see the Three Lions in there as one of the World Cup 2018 outsiders but of the three they are the longest priced at 11/1 odds with bet365* (Betting Odds taken at 11:37 p.m. on May 30th, 2018) to win the tournament outright in the summer. England have been pretty solid at the back, but the question mark over them will be whether or not they can produce enough goals going forward, and that is even with a fully fit Harry Kane.

Belgium are at 11/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 11:37 p.m. on May 30th, 2018) and they are coupled with England in Group G and the two European nations are expected to find their way through to the round of 16 ahead of the weaker challenges of Panama and Tunisia. Belgium have a more established squad, they have a better crop of experience and talent and depth in their squad than England do, just think of Vincent Kompany, Kevin de Bruyne, Romelu Lukaku and Eden Hazard.

But for Belgium and England the difficulty of the challenge that will likely await them in the quarter-finals is where problems could arise. As the draw is set up, Brazil and Germany are likely to occupy two of the four quarter-final places in the bottom half draw, so if both England and Belgium get there as well, then both of them will have to go up against one of the top teams in the tournament. That’s why they are nothing more than outsiders even with the stacked squad that Belgium have.

Out of England and Belgium, the Red Devils certainly do look stronger of the outsiders to pull off an upset, while Argentina who are even shorter at 9/1 odds with bet365* (Betting Odds taken at 11:37 p.m. on May 30th, 2018) to win the tournament? Four years ago the Albiceleste went all the way to the final, taking Germany to extra time before falling. Argentina generally a more conservative, defensive-minded nation and that doesn’t look to have changed from four years ago as they came through a really muted qualification campaign where they made things much harder for themselves than was ever necessary.

Argentina naturally have huge individual talent available to them and that is often the thing which carries them. Even if they are having a great day, they can turn to the likes of Lionel Messi, Sergio Aguero, Angel di Maria and Paulo Dybala for their moments of inspiration. That’s a nice feature to have in squad but in comparison to the big four front runners at the tournament, Argentina looks some way short and of the three main World Cup 2018 outsiders Belgium are the pick of the bunch.

World Cup 2018 dark horses

Beyond England, Belgium and Argentina there are some other options are to consider is dark horses for the World Cup 2018 betting at bet365. Two names jump out of the list and they are Uruguay and Croatia who are both 33/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken at 11:37 p.m. on May 30th, 2018) to get the World Cup title in their hands this summer in Russia.

While we imagine that any big underdog is unlikely to go all the way, these are the two who make the most appeal to have some kind of impact in the knockout stages, even if they aren’t likely to actually win World Cup outright. You are certainly not going to back them without each way coverage. While they are dark horses, they do actually both have some strengths.

Croatia have a great midfield stacked with world-class talent and they will be a difficult opponent anyone to have to go up against and Argentina may well find that out in the group stage as they have to try and deal with the Europeans. The one area where Croatia may fall down is in the defensive line but going forward they can cause teams some problems.

Then you have Uruguay to who are pretty much in the same boat. Along with Brazil, Uruguay are the only nation from the CONMEBOL zone who actually looked comfortable during the World Cup qualification process. The one thing they can boast is a tough, scrappy defence and they have some serious firepower in their ranks through Edinson Cavani and Luis Suarez. Their one area of weakness is creativity in the middle of the park and a lack of depth on the bench.

Alternative World Cup 2018 outsider at some

As we mentioned at the start of the article, you don’t just have to look in the World Cup outright winner market to find an outsider. You can pick up on an outsider in plenty of other areas such as an underdog coming through to win a group. An example of this is potentially Croatia beating Argentina to top spot in Group D, or Poland beating Colombia to top spot in Group H.

Those would be examples of outsiders producing a success. Similarly, you can is to consider options in the “to qualify” market as well for World Cup 2018 betting and examples of this, could be Sweden beating Mexico to qualification behind Germany in Group F or Egypt pulling off  a surprise and beating host nation Russia to qualification behind Uruguay in Group A.

You can also back outsiders in individual match betting of course as well, and this doesn’t even have to be extremes of expecting Peru to beat France for example, as England are outsiders ahead of their meeting with Belgium on June 28, and Portugal are going as underdogs against Spain to on June 15th. So basically there are good options to look at on World Cup outsiders without expecting someone to storm the field and beat the favourites to the title.

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* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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