World Cup golden boot predictions and odds 2018

30th May 2018 | World Cup Betting category: World Cup Betting & Odds
World Cup Betting & Odds

Lionel Messi, Cristiano Ronaldo, Sergio Aguero, Neymar, Harry Kane…the list of goalscoring talent at the 2018 World Cup is immense. But who is going to shine the brightest when it comes to the 2018 World Cup golden boot, which is awarded to the top goalscorer at the tournament? Four years ago Colombia’s James Rodriguez sprung a surprise on everybody by collecting the individual award.

Will there be another surprise winner at this time around, or will this year’s wealth of talent among the front runners produce the top goalscorer? World Cup golden boot betting at Russia 2018 is going to be very interesting and should be closely contested battle. There we take a look at some of the contenders.

Antoine Griezmann – France

Griezmann has to be in with a really good shout of winning the Golden Boot at the 2018 World Cup. He was in fine form during the 2018 portion of his domestic and European season with Atletico Madrid. He is one of the deadliest finishers around at the moment, just so cool and collected under pressure and you would back him more often than not to come up with a finish in one-on-one situations. Because the midfield and attacking options that France have are just so rich, Griezmann who was the top goal scorer at Euro 2016 is going to get a lot of chances to deliver for his country in Russia 2018. Griezmann is very strong 12/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken from bet365 at 4:37 p.m. on May 30th, 2018) candidate in the World Cup top goalscorer market.

Timo Werner – Germany

There is going to be a lot of expectation riding on the young shoulders of German striker Timo Werner at Russia 2018. He has been back so much that he is a shorter price than is established and proven goalscoring teammate, Thomas Muller. Muller incidentally was the 2010 World Cup top goalscorer. Werner now gives Germany a great secondary option up front as the Germans look for a title defence. Werner scored seven goals in his first dozen full internationals and he finished his season with RB Leipzig with 21 goals in 45 appearances. He was in deadly form in European matches scoring seven in eleven and with Germany once again so strong, and with Werner being one of the stars of the show when Germany won the Confederations Cup last summer he could be ready for a big impact on the big stage.

Harry Kane — England

Realistically England’s Harry Kane has to be chomping at the bit to get among the goals in the group stage of the 2018 World Cup. There should be plenty of chances coming his way in England’s two opening games which are against Tunisia and then Panama. Kane had another prolific season for his club Tottenham and England fans will be hoping he is fully sharp and ready to make a bigger impact than his disappointing Euro 2016 campaign. Kane is a 16/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken from bet365 at 4:37 p.m. on May 30th, 2018) outsider for the World Cup Golden Boot and that is because England are not expected to go as the into the tournament as the likes of Brazil, Germany Spain and France are likely to do. But four years ago James Rodriguez won the golden boot without getting past the quarter-finals so can Kane set himself up well for success in the group stage?

Diego Costa – Spain

Costa is just about the ultimate old-fashioned classic centre forward that you can find. He is so tough on the ball, is a great target man, is not afraid put himself about. He will trouble any defence that he comes up against. Spain look in good shape for a strong World Cup in the summer and Costa could be one of the stars of the show. Spain rely a lot on their input from midfield but Costa was the joint top scorer for them in World Cup qualification alongside Alvaro Morata, Isco and david Silva with five goals. Morata isn’t going so Costa looks as if he could fully resume main striking duties for Spain and he gives such a great option up front.

Gabriel Jesus – Brazil

The young Brazilian has to be worth a look, doesn’t he? He is the next big striking sensation for the Selecao and has already proven himself on the world stage for Brazil. The Manchester City forward could have extra pressure on the shoulders at the 2018 World Cup, because of the fitness doubts over their talismanic striker Neymar. So the attention could fully switch to Jesus who is 16/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken from bet365 at 4:37 p.m. on May 30th, 2018) in the World Cup top goalscorer market. He certainly has the tools, it looks to have a cool head on his shoulders and while even a half fit Neymar is going to attract more attention than Jesus, the youngster is well worth considering.

Romelu Lukaku – Belgium

The Manchester United man is the big goalscoring hope for Belgium who are carrying great form into the 2018 World Cup and are the top underdog option for punters in the outright winner market. If Belgium play to Lukaku’s strength, then the big forward should have a decent impact at the tournament. It’s debatable as to whether or not Belgium will be making it past the quarter-finals, but they have a big weapon up front in Lukaku and with easy group stage games against Panama and Tunisia they should get his eye in early and is that 18/1 odds* (Betting Odds taken from bet365 at 4:37 p.m. on May 30th, 2018) in the World Cup top goalscorer market.

Neymar – Brazil

We’ve already mentioned him so we may as well carry on and take a look at Neymar’s chances of finishing top goalscorer. At the end of May with Brazil heading into their World Cup warm up matches, he was just back in training after his broken foot. He really doesn’t have much time at all to find full fitness and match sharpness so his time during the World Cup 2018 may be a little more limited than Brazil would like. Brazil will likely get some minutes out of him during the group stage and hold him back for the knockout challenges. Is worth opposing.

Lionel Messi – Argentina

Another one worth opposing is Lionel Messi, but seems like a strange thing to say about arguably the greatest player in the world. What is going to limit Messi is just the way that Argentina set up. They are generally a conservative side and we saw that at the last World Cup and we saw it during the 2018 World Cup qualifiers. They just don’t seem to deliver enough of a punch going forward and that could hinder Messi’s chances of the Golden Boot.

Cristiano Ronaldo – Portugal

Portugal don’t actually look in particularly good shape heading to Russia 2018, and the reigning European champions may have their struggles. It is hard to see them getting enough games to give Ronaldo the chance at winning what would be one of his top individual awards in his illustrious career. Portugal fully relies on him for their goals, but it doesn’t look likely that he would be in the winner’s circle at the end of all this.

Luis Suárez, Edinson Cavani – Uruguay

That is a deadly partnership up front that Uruguay have, but they are likely to be in the same boat as Portugal really and so too Poland’s Robert Lewandowski. The lack of games are going to really hinder their chances going all the way and banking some success by finishing as top goalscorer. Uruguay realistically look like a quarter-final team at best, and while Cavani and Suarez both have tremendous scoring records for the country, there’s not likely be enough to get either of them the Golden Boot at the 2018 World Cup.


The two who stand out for asking World Cup 2018 top goalscorer betting is Antoine Griezmann and Gabriel Jesus. Griezmann is just leading the line of a very strong and very powerful, fluent and positive French side and he is bound to get a hat full of chances. As for Jesus, he has every chance of stealing the limelight from compatriot Neymar and Brazil may have to end up relying heavily on his input.

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* All mentioned odds were valid at the time of writing. Betting odds are subject to fluctuations. Please check the current odds with the respective bookmaker!

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